Compendium › Victor Volume › ADBE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ADBE
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 27 trades in period

-18.31%
Year to Date Return
$6,644.68
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$8,133.78
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-9.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,133.78
Current Value
$6,644.68
Period P&L
$-1,489.12
Max Drawdown
-40.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+10.50%
Worst Trade
-8.09%
Avg Trade Return
-0.58%
Avg Hold Time
7.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$354,013.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,489.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,489.12
Gross Return
-18.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,133.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:50pm ET $349.98 23 $8,049.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $335.35 23 $7,713.05 $7,801.46 $-336.49
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET $330.13 23 $7,593.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET $316.40 23 $7,277.20 $7,485.66 $-315.80
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $304.62 24 $7,310.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $292.12 24 $7,010.88 $7,185.66 $-300.00
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $292.34 24 $7,016.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $280.60 24 $6,734.40 $6,904.02 $-281.64
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $281.60 24 $6,758.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $270.20 24 $6,484.92 $6,630.54 $-273.48
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $266.67 24 $6,399.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $267.97 24 $6,431.28 $6,661.86 +$31.32
(+0.5%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $260.29 25 $6,507.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $249.23 25 $6,230.63 $6,385.17 $-276.69
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET $254.60 25 $6,364.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 11:05am ET $275.08 25 $6,877.00 $6,897.29 +$512.12
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $281.41 24 $6,753.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET $269.50 24 $6,468.00 $6,611.45 $-285.84
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $273.73 24 $6,569.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $252.22 24 $6,053.28 $6,095.21 $-516.24
(-7.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:45am ET $248.44 24 $5,962.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:10am ET $238.49 24 $5,723.76 $5,856.41 $-238.80
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $237.34 24 $5,696.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $227.77 24 $5,466.60 $5,626.85 $-229.56
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $228.13 24 $5,475.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 24 $6,037.20 $6,188.93 +$562.08
(+10.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $240.96 25 $6,024.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $242.65 25 $6,066.25 $6,231.18 +$42.25
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
15 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $247.35 25 $6,183.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $267.30 25 $6,682.50 $6,729.80 +$498.62
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $262.01 25 $6,550.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:30am ET $250.88 25 $6,271.88 $6,451.42 $-278.38
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $246.07 26 $6,397.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $235.34 26 $6,118.84 $6,172.49 $-278.93
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $205.47 30 $6,164.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $197.21 30 $5,916.45 $5,924.84 $-247.65
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $194.99 30 $5,849.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:40am ET $211.05 30 $6,331.50 $6,406.64 +$481.80
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.7d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $194.99 30 $5,849.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $215.46 30 $6,463.65 $7,020.59 +$613.95
(+10.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17.7d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $222.52 31 $6,898.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:35am ET $213.37 31 $6,614.47 $6,736.94 $-283.65
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 29 $6,693.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET $249.65 29 $7,239.71 $7,282.86 +$545.92
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $263.84 27 $7,123.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 27 $6,791.85 $6,951.03 $-331.83
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $259.82 26 $6,755.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $275.49 26 $7,162.74 $7,358.45 +$407.42
(+6.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $259.82 26 $6,755.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $265.52 26 $6,903.52 $7,506.65 +$148.20
(+2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $290.17 25 $7,254.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $266.70 25 $6,667.50 $6,920.03 $-586.62
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $251.72 27 $6,796.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $241.52 27 $6,521.09 $6,644.68 $-275.35
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,644.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,355.32
Total Return: -33.55%
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