AMD Victor Volume's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 32 trades in period
+4.44%
Year to Date Return
$11,231.28
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$10,754.29
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
9.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
14.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 14.8
30-Day Momentum
36
+14.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 57.9
Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,962
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,754.29
Current Value
$11,231.28
Period P&L
$476.98
Max Drawdown
-59.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
12 /
20
Best Trade
+12.47%
Worst Trade
-10.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$737,622.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$476.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$476.98
Gross Return
+4.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.44%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,754.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $205.54 | 50 | $10,277.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.35 | 50 | $11,217.61 | $11,272.36 |
+$940.60 (+9.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.65 | 48 | $11,071.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $220.89 | 48 | $10,602.72 | $10,803.88 |
$-468.48 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $208.23 | 51 | $10,619.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.79 | 51 | $11,923.29 | $12,107.42 |
+$1,303.54 (+12.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $230.74 | 52 | $11,998.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $249.44 | 52 | $12,970.88 | $13,079.82 |
+$972.40 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $253.73 | 51 | $12,940.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $242.37 | 51 | $12,360.62 | $12,500.20 |
$-579.61 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $236.78 | 52 | $12,312.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.66 | 52 | $11,006.32 | $11,193.96 |
$-1,306.24 (-10.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $192.14 | 58 | $11,144.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $208.23 | 58 | $12,077.34 | $12,127.17 |
+$933.21 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $215.86 | 56 | $12,087.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $215.43 | 56 | $12,064.08 | $12,103.32 |
$-23.86 (-0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
23.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $206.43 | 58 | $11,972.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $198.08 | 58 | $11,488.64 | $11,619.02 |
$-484.30 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.68 | 58 | $11,465.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.15 | 58 | $10,970.41 | $11,123.70 |
$-495.32 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.85 | 56 | $11,079.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.90 | 56 | $12,090.40 | $12,134.50 |
+$1,010.80 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.40 | 53 | $11,946.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $216.07 | 53 | $11,451.97 | $11,640.28 |
$-494.22 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $273.80 | 42 | $11,499.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $296.24 | 42 | $12,442.08 | $12,582.97 |
+$942.69 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.80 | 29 | $12,377.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $404.50 | 29 | $11,730.50 | $11,936.27 |
$-646.70 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.43 | 28 | $11,884.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $460.14 | 28 | $12,883.92 | $12,936.12 |
+$999.85 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $435.27 | 29 | $12,622.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $417.26 | 29 | $12,100.54 | $12,413.92 |
$-522.20 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:15pm ET | $446.11 | 27 | $12,045.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $482.23 | 27 | $13,020.21 | $13,389.03 |
+$975.11 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $503.17 | 26 | $13,082.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 2:25pm ET | $545.16 | 26 | $14,174.16 | $14,480.90 |
+$1,091.87 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $530.62 | 27 | $14,326.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $499.73 | 27 | $13,492.71 | $13,646.87 |
$-834.03 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $528.00 | 25 | $13,200.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $505.07 | 25 | $12,626.75 | $13,073.62 |
$-573.25 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $531.26 | 24 | $12,750.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $508.80 | 24 | $12,211.20 | $12,534.58 |
$-539.04 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $571.80 | 21 | $12,007.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $548.66 | 21 | $11,521.86 | $12,048.53 |
$-486.05 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $552.54 | 21 | $11,603.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $529.74 | 21 | $11,124.54 | $11,569.62 |
$-478.91 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $549.46 | 21 | $11,538.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $519.22 | 21 | $10,903.62 | $10,934.58 |
$-635.04 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $498.04 | 21 | $10,458.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.62 | 21 | $9,883.02 | $10,358.87 |
$-575.72 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $517.24 | 20 | $10,344.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $558.68 | 20 | $11,173.60 | $11,187.67 |
+$828.80 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $541.29 | 20 | $10,825.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $517.28 | 20 | $10,345.60 | $10,707.47 |
$-480.20 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $458.08 | 23 | $10,535.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $436.71 | 23 | $10,044.33 | $10,215.96 |
$-491.51 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $501.75 | 20 | $10,035.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $481.25 | 20 | $9,625.00 | $9,805.96 |
$-410.00 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $470.75 | 20 | $9,415.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $443.55 | 20 | $8,870.90 | $9,261.86 |
$-544.10 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $475.24 | 19 | $9,029.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $514.14 | 19 | $9,768.57 | $10,000.84 |
+$738.98 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $519.12 | 19 | $9,863.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $583.88 | 19 | $11,093.72 | $11,231.28 |
+$1,230.44 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,231.28
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,231.28
Total Return:
+12.31%