Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:43:43

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.5/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 34.2/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 30.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,989
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,905.45
Current Value
$14,913.62
Period P&L
$-991.83
Max Drawdown
-20.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
6 / 9
Best Trade
+13.66%
Worst Trade
-11.51%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
12.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$435,638.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-991.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$-991.83
Gross Return
-6.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $15,905.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $222.54 68 $15,132.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $233.05 68 $15,847.40 $16,053.00 +$714.68
(+4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $241.65 66 $15,948.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $231.81 66 $15,299.46 $15,403.56 $-649.44
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $229.43 67 $15,371.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $203.01 67 $13,602.00 $13,633.75 $-1,769.81
(-11.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $205.95 66 $13,592.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $210.03 66 $13,861.98 $13,903.04 +$269.28
(+2.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $204.41 68 $13,899.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $210.28 68 $14,299.04 $14,302.20 +$399.16
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $248.62 57 $14,171.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $273.04 57 $15,563.28 $15,694.14 +$1,391.94
(+9.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held
7 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $272.67 57 $15,542.19 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $261.52 57 $14,906.92 $15,058.87 $-635.27
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
8 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $260.65 57 $14,857.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:20am ET $250.20 57 $14,261.40 $14,463.22 $-595.65
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.91 56 $14,218.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $243.70 56 $13,647.20 $13,891.46 $-571.76
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $236.19 58 $13,699.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $226.23 58 $13,121.34 $13,313.78 $-577.68
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $228.24 58 $13,237.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $246.90 58 $14,320.20 $14,396.06 +$1,082.28
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $246.50 58 $14,297.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $236.28 58 $13,704.24 $13,803.30 $-592.76
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $232.37 59 $13,709.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $264.11 59 $15,582.49 $15,675.96 +$1,872.66
(+13.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $277.57 56 $15,543.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $266.42 56 $14,919.52 $15,051.56 $-624.40
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $259.80 57 $14,808.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $257.38 57 $14,670.66 $14,913.62 $-137.94
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,913.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,913.62
Total Return: +49.14%
Back to Victor Volume