ARM Victor Volume's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 49 trades in period
+0.40%
Year to Date Return
$12,417.60
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$12,368.67
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
19.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 19.7
30-Day Momentum
14
+2.7%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.5
Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,096
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$12,368.67
Current Value
$12,417.60
Period P&L
$48.94
Max Drawdown
-59.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
20 /
29
Best Trade
+14.17%
Worst Trade
-22.64%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,663,765.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$48.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$48.94
Gross Return
+0.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,368.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $114.77 | 107 | $12,280.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $109.55 | 107 | $11,721.85 | $11,810.13 |
$-558.54 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:40pm ET | $110.72 | 106 | $11,736.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $106.21 | 106 | $11,257.73 | $11,331.54 |
$-478.59 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $104.22 | 108 | $11,255.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.26 | 108 | $12,340.08 | $12,415.86 |
+$1,084.32 (+9.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.96 | 102 | $12,337.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $115.79 | 102 | $11,810.39 | $11,888.32 |
$-527.53 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:45pm ET | $114.73 | 103 | $11,816.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $110.09 | 103 | $11,339.27 | $11,410.92 |
$-477.40 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $106.83 | 106 | $11,323.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $102.49 | 106 | $10,863.94 | $10,950.88 |
$-460.04 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $114.03 | 96 | $10,946.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $123.20 | 96 | $11,827.20 | $11,831.20 |
+$880.32 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:40pm ET | $124.65 | 94 | $11,717.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $129.93 | 94 | $12,212.95 | $12,327.05 |
+$495.85 (+4.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
20.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.59 | 98 | $12,307.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.77 | 98 | $11,639.46 | $11,658.69 |
$-668.36 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.76 | 93 | $11,602.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $119.06 | 93 | $11,072.58 | $11,128.58 |
$-530.11 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $117.87 | 94 | $11,079.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $127.61 | 94 | $11,995.81 | $12,044.61 |
+$916.03 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.50 | 95 | $11,922.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.83 | 95 | $13,093.85 | $13,216.43 |
+$1,171.82 (+9.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.02 | 96 | $13,153.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.35 | 96 | $14,242.08 | $14,304.59 |
+$1,088.16 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.74 | 99 | $14,229.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.98 | 99 | $15,442.02 | $15,516.84 |
+$1,212.25 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.84 | 105 | $15,418.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.95 | 105 | $17,004.75 | $17,103.39 |
+$1,586.55 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $159.04 | 107 | $17,017.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $171.82 | 107 | $18,384.74 | $18,470.85 |
+$1,367.46 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.41 | 91 | $18,328.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $228.92 | 91 | $20,831.48 | $20,973.86 |
+$2,503.01 (+13.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:55pm ET | $213.17 | 98 | $20,890.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $204.48 | 98 | $20,039.04 | $20,122.24 |
$-851.62 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.54 | 95 | $20,001.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.38 | 95 | $22,835.96 | $22,956.42 |
+$2,834.18 (+14.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.40 | 82 | $22,746.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $301.00 | 82 | $24,682.01 | $24,891.63 |
+$1,935.21 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $306.04 | 81 | $24,789.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:20am ET | $331.40 | 81 | $26,843.39 | $26,945.78 |
+$2,054.15 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $353.32 | 76 | $26,851.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $395.64 | 76 | $30,068.64 | $30,162.48 |
+$3,216.70 (+12.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:05pm ET | $397.51 | 75 | $29,813.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $378.89 | 75 | $28,417.12 | $28,766.35 |
$-1,396.13 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $347.79 | 82 | $28,518.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $331.44 | 82 | $27,178.08 | $27,425.65 |
$-1,340.70 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $417.18 | 65 | $27,116.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $399.23 | 65 | $25,949.95 | $26,258.90 |
$-1,166.75 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:50pm ET | $350.60 | 74 | $25,944.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $332.77 | 74 | $24,624.98 | $24,939.75 |
$-1,319.15 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $308.44 | 80 | $24,675.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $334.65 | 80 | $26,772.00 | $27,036.54 |
+$2,096.80 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $360.52 | 74 | $26,678.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.45 | 74 | $24,897.43 | $25,255.50 |
$-1,781.05 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $339.66 | 74 | $25,134.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $325.07 | 74 | $24,055.19 | $24,175.85 |
$-1,079.65 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.00 | 79 | $24,095.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 11:50am ET | $292.50 | 79 | $23,107.50 | $23,188.35 |
$-987.50 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.03 | 71 | $23,006.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $301.93 | 71 | $21,437.38 | $21,619.60 |
$-1,568.75 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $286.82 | 75 | $21,511.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $273.70 | 75 | $20,527.50 | $20,635.98 |
$-983.62 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $259.13 | 79 | $20,471.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.66 | 79 | $19,644.14 | $19,808.85 |
$-827.13 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $273.84 | 72 | $19,716.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $262.73 | 72 | $18,916.54 | $19,008.91 |
$-799.94 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $266.37 | 71 | $18,912.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $247.99 | 71 | $17,606.94 | $17,703.58 |
$-1,305.33 (-6.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.03 | 71 | $23,006.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.68 | 71 | $17,798.28 | $12,495.73 |
$-5,207.85 (-22.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.32 | 48 | $12,399.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:25am ET | $246.35 | 48 | $11,825.04 | $11,921.41 |
$-574.32 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.88 | 45 | $11,784.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $282.96 | 45 | $12,733.42 | $12,870.23 |
+$948.82 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.95 | 47 | $12,734.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $293.76 | 47 | $13,806.49 | $13,942.30 |
+$1,072.07 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 12:25pm ET | $268.68 | 51 | $13,702.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.07 | 51 | $13,059.65 | $13,299.27 |
$-643.03 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:35pm ET | $250.54 | 53 | $13,278.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.47 | 53 | $12,638.91 | $12,659.82 |
$-639.45 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:35pm ET | $250.54 | 53 | $13,278.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $240.51 | 53 | $12,747.03 | $12,128.49 |
$-531.33 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $252.68 | 48 | $12,128.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $241.87 | 48 | $11,609.76 | $11,609.85 |
$-518.64 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 3:40pm ET | $241.73 | 48 | $11,602.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $231.30 | 48 | $11,102.40 | $11,109.45 |
$-500.40 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $234.00 | 47 | $10,998.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $252.96 | 47 | $11,889.12 | $12,000.57 |
+$891.12 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $261.67 | 45 | $11,774.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.38 | 45 | $10,907.10 | $11,132.74 |
$-867.83 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $249.35 | 44 | $10,971.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $269.63 | 44 | $11,863.72 | $12,025.26 |
+$892.52 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $296.97 | 40 | $11,878.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $321.35 | 40 | $12,854.00 | $13,000.46 |
+$975.20 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $332.60 | 39 | $12,971.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.65 | 39 | $12,388.54 | $12,417.60 |
$-582.86 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,417.60
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,417.60
Total Return:
+24.18%