Compendium › Victor Volume › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 16 trades in period

-7.33%
Year to Date Return
$21,369.03
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$23,060.07
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.2/35
Total Return
17.1/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 51.1/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 44.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,933
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$23,060.07
Current Value
$21,369.03
Period P&L
$-1,691.04
Max Drawdown
-21.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+8.53%
Worst Trade
-8.36%
Avg Trade Return
-0.47%
Avg Hold Time
13d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$718,480.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,691.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,691.04
Gross Return
-7.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $23,060.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:40pm ET $377.22 62 $23,387.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $359.55 62 $22,292.10 $22,412.17 $-1,095.54
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $359.02 62 $22,259.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $347.76 62 $21,561.12 $21,714.05 $-698.12
(-3.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $351.07 61 $21,415.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $364.90 61 $22,258.89 $22,557.67 +$843.62
(+3.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $344.46 65 $22,390.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $328.77 65 $21,370.05 $21,537.49 $-1,020.18
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $333.80 64 $21,363.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $320.12 64 $20,487.69 $20,661.98 $-875.51
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $301.83 68 $20,524.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:30am ET $300.09 68 $20,406.12 $20,543.32 $-118.66
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $296.49 69 $20,457.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:40am ET $321.30 69 $22,170.04 $22,255.56 +$1,712.24
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $313.73 70 $21,961.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:55am ET $339.11 70 $23,737.70 $24,032.16 +$1,776.60
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $315.74 76 $23,996.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $308.94 76 $23,479.44 $23,514.98 $-517.18
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $313.89 74 $23,228.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $301.27 74 $22,293.61 $22,580.36 $-934.62
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $309.16 73 $22,568.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $335.54 73 $24,494.42 $24,506.10 +$1,925.74
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $343.30 71 $24,374.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $345.57 71 $24,535.12 $24,666.92 +$160.82
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $350.32 70 $24,522.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $321.04 70 $22,472.80 $22,617.32 $-2,049.60
(-8.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $331.64 68 $22,551.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $340.20 68 $23,133.60 $23,199.06 +$581.74
(+2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $335.40 69 $23,142.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $321.81 69 $22,205.07 $22,261.53 $-937.53
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $316.65 70 $22,165.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:55am ET $303.90 70 $21,273.35 $21,369.03 $-892.50
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,369.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,369.03
Total Return: +113.69%
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