COIN Victor Volume's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 34 trades in period
+0.27%
Year to Date Return
$8,460.19
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$8,437.62
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
5.2/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 5.0
30-Day Momentum
0
-0.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,006
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,437.62
Current Value
$8,460.19
Period P&L
$22.57
Max Drawdown
-46.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
12 /
22
Best Trade
+12.46%
Worst Trade
-5.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$540,694.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$22.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$22.57
Gross Return
+0.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,437.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 2:20pm ET | $233.27 | 37 | $8,630.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $252.54 | 37 | $9,343.98 | $9,431.43 |
+$712.99 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $250.54 | 37 | $9,269.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $238.86 | 37 | $8,837.82 | $8,999.27 |
$-432.16 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:55pm ET | $245.22 | 36 | $8,827.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.88 | 36 | $8,347.79 | $8,519.07 |
$-480.20 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $229.46 | 37 | $8,489.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.16 | 37 | $8,071.92 | $8,101.08 |
$-417.99 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.95 | 37 | $7,953.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.46 | 37 | $7,565.09 | $7,713.02 |
$-388.06 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $193.12 | 39 | $7,531.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.56 | 39 | $7,158.84 | $7,340.18 |
$-372.84 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $168.63 | 43 | $7,251.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $161.67 | 43 | $6,951.81 | $7,040.90 |
$-299.28 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $157.46 | 44 | $6,928.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $165.50 | 44 | $7,282.00 | $7,394.88 |
+$353.98 (+5.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.15 | 40 | $7,326.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.71 | 40 | $7,028.40 | $7,097.08 |
$-297.80 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.46 | 39 | $6,998.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $195.70 | 39 | $7,632.30 | $7,730.63 |
+$633.55 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.88 | 36 | $7,591.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $202.38 | 36 | $7,285.68 | $7,424.63 |
$-306.00 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $196.71 | 37 | $7,278.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $213.07 | 37 | $7,883.41 | $8,029.76 |
+$605.13 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 2:20pm ET | $200.41 | 40 | $8,016.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $190.04 | 40 | $7,601.60 | $7,614.96 |
$-414.80 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.45 | 46 | $7,564.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.94 | 46 | $8,507.24 | $8,557.50 |
+$942.54 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $188.19 | 45 | $8,468.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.16 | 45 | $9,232.20 | $9,321.15 |
+$763.65 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.27 | 45 | $9,192.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $194.87 | 45 | $8,768.93 | $8,897.70 |
$-423.45 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.50 | 46 | $8,854.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $182.99 | 46 | $8,417.77 | $8,460.55 |
$-437.15 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 1:55pm ET | $198.93 | 42 | $8,355.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.26 | 42 | $7,991.00 | $8,096.28 |
$-364.27 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.35 | 45 | $8,025.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.41 | 45 | $7,668.54 | $7,739.07 |
$-357.21 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.33 | 42 | $7,657.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $174.75 | 42 | $7,339.50 | $7,420.63 |
$-318.44 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $165.69 | 44 | $7,290.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.92 | 44 | $6,948.48 | $7,078.75 |
$-341.88 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.03 | 45 | $6,931.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.60 | 45 | $7,722.00 | $7,869.40 |
+$790.65 (+11.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.16 | 45 | $7,747.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $164.24 | 45 | $7,390.80 | $7,512.78 |
$-356.62 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $142.09 | 52 | $7,388.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $153.70 | 52 | $7,992.40 | $8,116.50 |
+$603.72 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.54 | 47 | $7,968.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $161.91 | 47 | $7,609.77 | $7,757.89 |
$-358.61 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.70 | 49 | $7,678.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.90 | 49 | $8,521.10 | $8,600.69 |
+$842.80 (+11.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.60 | 49 | $8,506.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $166.57 | 49 | $8,162.17 | $8,256.46 |
$-344.23 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $161.12 | 51 | $8,217.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $154.41 | 51 | $7,875.16 | $7,914.51 |
$-341.96 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $167.53 | 47 | $7,873.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $160.80 | 47 | $7,557.60 | $7,598.20 |
$-316.31 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.70 | 49 | $7,678.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $161.88 | 49 | $7,932.12 | $7,852.02 |
+$253.82 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.80 | 52 | $7,841.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $162.93 | 52 | $8,472.36 | $8,482.78 |
+$630.76 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $186.43 | 45 | $8,389.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $178.44 | 45 | $8,029.80 | $8,123.23 |
$-359.55 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $176.13 | 46 | $8,102.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:45am ET | $191.31 | 46 | $8,800.26 | $8,821.35 |
+$698.12 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.03 | 46 | $8,649.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $180.18 | 46 | $8,288.22 | $8,460.19 |
$-361.16 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,460.19
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,539.81
Total Return:
-15.40%