Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.2/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 43.0/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 38.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-38 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,283
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,541.76
Current Value
$17,462.76
Period P&L
$1,920.99
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
9 / 8
Best Trade
+8.34%
Worst Trade
-5.83%
Avg Trade Return
+1.02%
Avg Hold Time
14.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$533,507.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,920.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,920.99
Gross Return
+12.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $15,541.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $110.71 136 $15,056.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $115.54 136 $15,713.44 $15,808.33 +$656.88
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $114.44 138 $15,792.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $109.00 138 $15,042.01 $15,057.62 $-750.71
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $111.56 134 $14,948.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $105.05 134 $14,076.70 $14,185.95 $-871.67
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $104.18 136 $14,168.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $110.03 136 $14,964.08 $14,981.55 +$795.60
(+5.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $105.73 141 $14,907.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $100.93 141 $14,231.13 $14,304.75 $-676.80
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $100.13 142 $14,218.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:45am ET $95.90 142 $13,617.80 $13,704.09 $-600.66
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $94.06 145 $13,638.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $101.90 145 $14,775.50 $14,840.89 +$1,136.80
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $104.06 142 $14,776.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $109.38 142 $15,531.96 $15,596.33 +$755.44
(+5.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $101.19 154 $15,584.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $103.73 154 $15,974.42 $15,986.72 +$390.39
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $98.46 162 $15,950.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $98.94 162 $16,028.10 $16,064.30 +$77.58
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $97.56 164 $15,999.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $93.61 164 $15,352.86 $15,417.32 $-646.98
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $98.46 162 $15,950.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $96.31 162 $15,602.22 $15,069.02 $-348.30
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
34.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:45am ET $96.10 156 $14,991.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $103.88 156 $16,204.50 $16,281.92 +$1,212.90
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $103.04 158 $16,280.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET $111.61 158 $17,634.38 $17,635.98 +$1,354.06
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $103.04 158 $16,280.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $111.39 158 $17,599.78 $18,955.44 +$1,319.46
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:50am ET $107.98 175 $18,896.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $103.66 175 $18,140.50 $18,199.44 $-756.00
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $108.07 168 $18,156.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $103.69 168 $17,419.92 $17,462.76 $-736.68
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,462.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,462.76
Total Return: +74.63%
Back to Victor Volume