DKNG Victor Volume's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 33 trades in period
-19.95%
Year to Date Return
$7,904.59
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$9,874.30
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
4.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.5
30-Day Momentum
2
-19.1%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,489
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,874.30
Current Value
$7,904.59
Period P&L
$-1,969.72
Max Drawdown
-40.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
11 /
22
Best Trade
+12.46%
Worst Trade
-9.45%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$624,633.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,969.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,969.72
Gross Return
-19.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.95%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,874.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 3:45pm ET | $34.45 | 286 | $9,852.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $36.11 | 286 | $10,326.03 | $10,335.71 |
+$473.33 (+4.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $35.17 | 293 | $10,304.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $33.56 | 293 | $9,833.08 | $9,864.27 |
$-471.44 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $31.94 | 308 | $9,837.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $30.61 | 308 | $9,427.85 | $9,454.60 |
$-409.67 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $30.66 | 308 | $9,441.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $29.42 | 308 | $9,061.36 | $9,074.22 |
$-380.38 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $27.35 | 331 | $9,052.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $26.24 | 331 | $8,683.79 | $8,705.15 |
$-369.06 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $27.14 | 320 | $8,684.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $26.01 | 320 | $8,324.80 | $8,345.15 |
$-360.00 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $26.72 | 312 | $8,335.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $27.51 | 312 | $8,584.68 | $8,594.69 |
+$249.54 (+3.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $22.48 | 382 | $8,585.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $21.49 | 382 | $8,207.27 | $8,216.51 |
$-378.18 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $21.93 | 374 | $8,201.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $23.70 | 374 | $8,863.80 | $8,878.49 |
+$661.98 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 12:30pm ET | $24.99 | 355 | $8,871.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $23.96 | 355 | $8,505.80 | $8,512.84 |
$-365.65 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.28 | 400 | $8,512.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:10pm ET | $22.99 | 400 | $9,196.00 | $9,196.84 |
+$684.00 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $23.03 | 399 | $9,188.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $22.01 | 399 | $8,781.99 | $8,789.86 |
$-406.98 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $22.91 | 383 | $8,774.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $21.91 | 383 | $8,391.53 | $8,406.86 |
$-383.00 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.51 | 357 | $8,393.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.44 | 357 | $9,439.08 | $9,452.87 |
+$1,046.01 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 1:05pm ET | $25.95 | 364 | $9,447.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.81 | 364 | $9,030.84 | $9,036.09 |
$-416.78 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.30 | 371 | $9,013.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.25 | 371 | $9,738.75 | $9,761.39 |
+$725.30 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $25.35 | 384 | $9,736.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $27.48 | 384 | $10,552.32 | $10,577.39 |
+$816.00 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.53 | 358 | $10,571.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $28.33 | 358 | $10,140.35 | $10,146.00 |
$-431.39 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $26.33 | 385 | $10,135.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $25.22 | 385 | $9,707.78 | $9,718.65 |
$-427.35 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.05 | 404 | $9,716.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.07 | 404 | $10,530.26 | $10,532.71 |
+$814.06 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $24.97 | 421 | $10,510.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.01 | 421 | $11,371.21 | $11,393.66 |
+$860.95 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $26.88 | 423 | $11,370.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $25.75 | 423 | $10,892.25 | $10,915.67 |
$-477.99 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $25.88 | 421 | $10,893.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $24.82 | 421 | $10,447.12 | $10,469.41 |
$-446.26 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $24.84 | 421 | $10,457.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.84 | 421 | $9,617.74 | $9,629.52 |
$-839.90 (-8.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $22.75 | 423 | $9,625.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $24.64 | 423 | $10,420.61 | $10,424.76 |
+$795.24 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $26.88 | 423 | $11,370.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.34 | 423 | $10,295.82 | $9,350.34 |
$-1,074.42 (-9.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.35 | 418 | $9,342.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $24.35 | 418 | $10,178.30 | $10,186.34 |
+$836.00 (+8.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $25.25 | 403 | $10,175.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $24.24 | 403 | $9,766.71 | $9,777.30 |
$-409.04 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $25.82 | 378 | $9,759.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $24.74 | 378 | $9,350.47 | $9,367.81 |
$-409.49 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:20am ET | $24.81 | 377 | $9,351.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.75 | 377 | $8,953.75 | $8,970.07 |
$-397.74 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.75 | 362 | $8,959.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.73 | 362 | $8,588.45 | $8,599.02 |
$-371.05 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:05pm ET | $24.40 | 352 | $8,588.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $23.42 | 352 | $8,242.08 | $8,252.30 |
$-346.72 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $23.33 | 353 | $8,233.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $22.34 | 353 | $7,886.02 | $7,904.59 |
$-347.71 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,904.59
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,095.41
Total Return:
-20.95%