Compendium › Victor Volume › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 21 trades in period

-20.18%
Year to Date Return
$15,015.26
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$18,810.23
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:09:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 29.8/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 26.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,801
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$18,810.23
Current Value
$15,015.26
Period P&L
$-3,794.97
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
6 / 15
Best Trade
+8.08%
Worst Trade
-5.86%
Avg Trade Return
-0.96%
Avg Hold Time
8.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$682,767.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,794.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,794.97
Gross Return
-20.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $18,810.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $558.42 33 $18,427.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:30am ET $603.28 33 $19,908.24 $20,290.61 +$1,480.38
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $584.00 34 $19,856.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $560.03 34 $19,041.02 $19,475.63 $-814.98
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $541.84 35 $18,964.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $519.56 35 $18,184.60 $18,696.00 $-779.63
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $530.23 35 $18,558.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET $506.96 35 $17,743.60 $17,881.55 $-814.45
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:40am ET $505.74 35 $17,700.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $484.89 35 $16,971.15 $17,151.80 $-729.75
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $479.74 35 $16,791.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $497.28 35 $17,404.80 $17,765.53 +$613.73
(+3.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $490.39 36 $17,654.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:30am ET $488.06 36 $17,570.31 $17,681.80 $-83.73
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $478.56 36 $17,228.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET $459.03 36 $16,524.96 $16,978.60 $-703.20
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $458.19 37 $16,953.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $456.44 37 $16,888.28 $16,913.85 $-64.75
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $465.57 36 $16,760.34 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $445.75 36 $16,047.00 $16,200.51 $-713.34
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $441.03 36 $15,877.09 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $422.45 36 $15,208.20 $15,531.62 $-668.89
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $424.49 36 $15,281.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $406.57 36 $14,636.34 $14,886.41 $-645.21
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $400.56 37 $14,820.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $408.17 37 $15,102.47 $15,168.16 +$281.75
(+1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:50pm ET $402.05 37 $14,875.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $434.43 37 $16,074.09 $16,366.41 +$1,198.25
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $406.84 40 $16,273.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $388.79 40 $15,551.60 $15,644.41 $-722.00
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $379.99 41 $15,579.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $357.72 41 $14,666.52 $14,731.24 $-913.17
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $352.07 41 $14,434.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $336.35 41 $13,790.35 $14,086.72 $-644.52
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $351.89 40 $14,075.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $380.12 40 $15,204.80 $15,215.92 +$1,129.20
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $396.70 38 $15,074.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $378.34 38 $14,376.92 $14,518.24 $-697.68
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $380.14 38 $14,445.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:50am ET $364.19 38 $13,839.22 $13,912.14 $-606.10
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $349.96 39 $13,648.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $378.25 39 $14,751.75 $15,015.26 +$1,103.12
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,015.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,015.26
Total Return: +50.15%
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