LCID Victor Volume's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
-44.66%
Year to Date Return
$5,471.76
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$9,886.93
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 4.1
30-Day Momentum
1
-16.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,150
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,886.93
Current Value
$5,471.76
Period P&L
$-4,415.16
Max Drawdown
-52.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
12 /
31
Best Trade
+10.68%
Worst Trade
-12.55%
Avg Trade Return
-1.17%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$731,129.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,415.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,415.16
Gross Return
-44.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-44.66%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,886.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $11.51 | 859 | $9,882.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $11.02 | 859 | $9,466.18 | $9,470.30 |
$-416.62 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $11.52 | 822 | $9,469.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.00 | 822 | $9,041.84 | $9,042.70 |
$-427.60 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $10.83 | 835 | $9,038.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:45pm ET | $10.38 | 835 | $8,663.13 | $8,666.95 |
$-375.75 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $10.09 | 859 | $8,663.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.66 | 859 | $8,293.65 | $8,297.58 |
$-369.37 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.22 | 811 | $8,288.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $11.06 | 811 | $8,969.74 | $8,978.90 |
+$681.32 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $11.22 | 800 | $8,976.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $10.76 | 800 | $8,607.92 | $8,610.82 |
$-368.08 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $10.82 | 795 | $8,601.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $10.36 | 795 | $8,236.20 | $8,245.12 |
$-365.70 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $10.58 | 779 | $8,241.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $10.14 | 779 | $7,895.17 | $7,898.46 |
$-346.65 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $9.60 | 823 | $7,896.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $10.42 | 823 | $8,572.12 | $8,573.90 |
+$675.44 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $11.18 | 767 | $8,571.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $11.24 | 767 | $8,621.00 | $8,623.68 |
+$49.78 (+0.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $10.03 | 859 | $8,620.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $9.58 | 859 | $8,227.50 | $8,231.12 |
$-392.56 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $9.34 | 881 | $8,224.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 1:15pm ET | $10.08 | 881 | $8,884.62 | $8,891.61 |
+$660.49 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $9.88 | 900 | $8,887.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $10.93 | 900 | $9,837.00 | $9,841.11 |
+$949.50 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $9.85 | 999 | $9,840.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.75 | 999 | $10,739.25 | $10,740.21 |
+$899.10 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:35pm ET | $9.46 | 1,135 | $10,737.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $9.08 | 1,135 | $10,305.80 | $10,308.80 |
$-431.41 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $8.73 | 1,180 | $10,307.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $8.39 | 1,180 | $9,894.30 | $9,895.80 |
$-413.00 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.24 | 1,367 | $9,890.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $6.93 | 1,367 | $9,480.14 | $9,485.70 |
$-410.10 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.37 | 1,489 | $9,484.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.03 | 1,489 | $8,977.03 | $8,977.80 |
$-507.90 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.00 | 1,496 | $8,976.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $6.51 | 1,496 | $9,738.96 | $9,740.76 |
+$762.96 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $6.07 | 1,604 | $9,736.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $5.82 | 1,604 | $9,343.30 | $9,347.78 |
$-392.98 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.09 | 1,534 | $9,342.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $6.58 | 1,534 | $10,093.72 | $10,099.44 |
+$751.66 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.55 | 1,541 | $10,093.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $6.27 | 1,541 | $9,662.07 | $9,667.96 |
$-431.48 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.55 | 1,541 | $10,093.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.73 | 1,541 | $8,826.85 | $8,401.26 |
$-1,266.70 (-12.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $5.13 | 1,638 | $8,398.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $4.91 | 1,638 | $8,042.74 | $8,045.65 |
$-355.61 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.14 | 1,566 | $8,041.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $5.57 | 1,566 | $8,714.79 | $8,719.03 |
+$673.38 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $6.34 | 1,374 | $8,718.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.86 | 1,374 | $9,422.48 | $9,423.48 |
+$704.45 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.53 | 1,443 | $9,422.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $6.26 | 1,443 | $9,025.97 | $9,027.09 |
$-396.39 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $5.86 | 1,541 | $9,022.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $5.62 | 1,541 | $8,660.42 | $8,664.95 |
$-362.14 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $5.52 | 1,569 | $8,660.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $5.14 | 1,569 | $8,056.82 | $8,060.89 |
$-604.06 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $5.78 | 1,395 | $8,056.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $6.31 | 1,395 | $8,802.45 | $8,807.21 |
+$746.32 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $7.33 | 1,201 | $8,803.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $7.01 | 1,201 | $8,419.01 | $8,423.02 |
$-384.20 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $6.78 | 1,242 | $8,420.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $6.49 | 1,242 | $8,054.37 | $8,056.63 |
$-366.39 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $6.51 | 1,237 | $8,052.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $6.16 | 1,237 | $7,613.74 | $7,617.49 |
$-439.14 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $6.51 | 1,170 | $7,616.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $7.09 | 1,170 | $8,289.45 | $8,290.24 |
+$672.75 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $8.13 | 1,019 | $8,284.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.72 | 1,019 | $7,868.31 | $7,874.08 |
$-416.16 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.05 | 1,117 | $7,872.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.76 | 1,117 | $7,550.92 | $7,552.38 |
$-321.70 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 3:40pm ET | $6.99 | 1,079 | $7,547.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.66 | 1,079 | $7,191.53 | $7,196.31 |
$-356.07 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:05pm ET | $5.57 | 1,293 | $7,195.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $5.34 | 1,293 | $6,898.16 | $6,898.92 |
$-297.39 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:05pm ET | $5.57 | 1,293 | $7,195.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.33 | 1,293 | $6,891.69 | $6,595.06 |
$-303.86 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 10:20am ET | $4.94 | 1,335 | $6,594.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.72 | 1,335 | $6,294.53 | $6,294.69 |
$-300.37 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $4.72 | 1,332 | $6,293.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $4.49 | 1,332 | $5,980.68 | $5,981.67 |
$-313.02 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.24 | 1,412 | $5,979.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $4.06 | 1,412 | $5,732.58 | $5,734.43 |
$-247.24 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 1:25pm ET | $4.26 | 1,347 | $5,731.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $4.06 | 1,347 | $5,468.82 | $5,471.76 |
$-262.67 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,471.76
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,528.24
Total Return:
-45.28%