Compendium › Victor Volume › LTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 29 trades in period

-48.71%
Year to Date Return
$504.37
Current Value
24%
Win Rate
$927.74
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,143
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$927.74
Current Value
$504.37
Period P&L
$-451.95
Max Drawdown
-96.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
7 / 22
Best Trade
+8.48%
Worst Trade
-8.21%
Avg Trade Return
-1.63%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$36,409.60
Estimated Fees
$91.02
Gross P&L
$-451.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-542.97
Gross Return
-48.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-58.53%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $927.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 2:40pm ET $75.64 12 $914.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 4:50pm ET $81.76 12 $988.21 $983.46 +$69.21
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 5:00pm ET $81.93 12 $983.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 11, 2026 7:00pm ET $78.63 12 $943.85 $939.03 $-44.43
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 11, 2026 9:05pm ET $78.81 12 $939.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 5:30am ET $75.37 12 $898.04 $893.45 $-45.58
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 6:00am ET $75.60 12 $893.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET $71.74 12 $847.85 $843.50 $-49.95
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $72.10 12 $843.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 7:30pm ET $69.10 12 $808.40 $804.27 $-39.23
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 9:30pm ET $69.98 11 $804.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 4:00pm ET $67.15 11 $771.75 $767.81 $-36.46
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 7:35pm ET $67.66 11 $767.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET $64.93 11 $736.83 $733.07 $-34.74
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.6d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $66.23 11 $733.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:25am ET $63.53 11 $703.18 $699.59 $-33.48
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:10am ET $64.33 11 $699.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 9:15am ET $61.69 11 $670.84 $667.41 $-32.18
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 9:30am ET $60.07 11 $667.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 1:35pm ET $57.29 11 $636.52 $633.26 $-34.15
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 1:45pm ET $57.89 11 $633.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET $55.36 11 $605.59 $602.49 $-30.77
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $53.64 11 $602.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $51.43 11 $577.67 $574.72 $-27.77
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $51.27 11 $574.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $47.06 11 $527.52 $524.77 $-49.95
(-8.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 4:20am ET $51.26 10 $524.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:45am ET $55.42 10 $567.36 $564.63 +$39.86
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:50am ET $55.57 10 $564.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET $53.21 10 $540.65 $537.88 $-26.74
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 6:55am ET $53.18 10 $537.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $53.58 10 $541.95 $539.25 +$1.36
(+0.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 2:30am ET $55.29 10 $539.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 4:05pm ET $53.03 10 $517.20 $517.20 $-24.69
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:55pm ET $53.57 10 $517.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 22, 2026 8:25pm ET $51.33 10 $495.57 $495.57 $-24.16
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 4:30am ET $52.36 9 $495.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET $56.80 9 $537.59 $537.59 +$39.44
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:50pm ET $56.60 9 $537.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:50am ET $54.27 9 $515.46 $515.46 $-24.76
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $54.11 10 $515.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 3:20am ET $51.90 10 $494.41 $494.41 $-23.58
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 8:30am ET $51.96 10 $494.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 4:00am ET $56.14 10 $534.18 $534.18 +$37.20
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 7:00am ET $55.81 10 $534.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET $53.52 10 $512.26 $512.26 $-24.53
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $53.32 10 $512.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:30am ET $57.65 10 $553.86 $553.86 +$38.93
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.6d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:40am ET $57.48 10 $553.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:15am ET $55.08 10 $530.74 $530.74 $-25.84
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 7:00am ET $55.81 10 $534.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 4:55pm ET $53.57 10 $512.74 $509.30 $-24.06
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.4d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:00pm ET $56.41 9 $509.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 6:40am ET $53.95 9 $487.09 $487.09 $-24.70
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET $54.06 9 $487.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 6:40am ET $51.83 9 $467.00 $467.00 $-22.48
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $51.99 9 $467.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $56.15 9 $504.37 $504.37 +$34.94
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $504.37
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,495.63
Total Return: -94.96%
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