Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:09:04

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.7/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
4.5/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 39.6/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 33.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,905
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,311.84
Current Value
$14,851.96
Period P&L
$2,540.11
Max Drawdown
-14.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+12.62%
Worst Trade
-4.19%
Avg Trade Return
+1.96%
Avg Hold Time
17.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$283,420.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,540.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,540.11
Gross Return
+20.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $12,311.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:35pm ET $563.55 21 $11,834.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $567.74 21 $11,922.54 $12,245.48 +$87.99
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $565.82 21 $11,882.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $542.63 21 $11,395.23 $11,758.54 $-486.94
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $545.92 21 $11,464.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:20am ET $523.92 21 $11,002.32 $11,296.54 $-462.00
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $525.93 21 $11,044.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $541.99 21 $11,381.79 $11,633.91 +$337.36
(+3.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
18d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $512.79 22 $11,281.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:50am ET $491.98 22 $10,823.56 $11,176.09 $-457.82
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:55am ET $495.78 22 $10,907.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:55am ET $507.94 22 $11,174.68 $11,443.61 +$267.52
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:40pm ET $493.53 23 $11,351.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $472.83 23 $10,875.09 $10,967.51 $-476.10
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $480.34 22 $10,567.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $493.20 22 $10,850.51 $11,250.54 +$283.03
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $480.34 22 $10,567.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $540.98 22 $11,901.56 $12,584.62 +$1,334.08
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
31.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $519.91 24 $12,477.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET $562.19 24 $13,492.56 $13,599.40 +$1,014.78
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $519.91 24 $12,477.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $580.51 24 $13,932.24 $15,053.86 +$1,454.46
(+11.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $580.29 25 $14,507.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $572.22 25 $14,305.38 $14,851.96 $-201.90
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,851.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,851.96
Total Return: +48.52%
Back to Victor Volume