MARA Victor Volume's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
-0.93%
Year to Date Return
$9,275.33
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$9,362.14
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
5.8/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 5.4
30-Day Momentum
37
+12.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.7
Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,015
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,362.14
Current Value
$9,275.33
Period P&L
$-86.79
Max Drawdown
-71.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
11 /
19
Best Trade
+9.63%
Worst Trade
-6.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$539,865.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-86.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-86.79
Gross Return
-0.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,362.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $9.88 | 947 | $9,353.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.72 | 947 | $10,147.11 | $10,156.17 |
+$794.06 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $10.07 | 1,008 | $10,153.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.99 | 1,008 | $11,077.92 | $11,081.01 |
+$924.84 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.12 | 996 | $11,070.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.40 | 996 | $10,353.42 | $10,363.89 |
$-717.12 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.60 | 978 | $10,361.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.17 | 978 | $9,941.37 | $9,943.35 |
$-420.54 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $10.29 | 966 | $9,935.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $9.85 | 966 | $9,512.69 | $9,520.72 |
$-422.63 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $9.68 | 984 | $9,520.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.16 | 984 | $9,012.75 | $9,013.27 |
$-507.45 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $7.39 | 1,218 | $9,007.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $7.06 | 1,218 | $8,600.66 | $8,606.83 |
$-406.45 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $8.31 | 1,036 | $8,603.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.82 | 1,036 | $8,106.70 | $8,109.54 |
$-497.28 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.55 | 948 | $8,105.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $8.20 | 948 | $7,773.60 | $7,777.74 |
$-331.80 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $8.79 | 884 | $7,770.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.40 | 884 | $7,424.45 | $7,431.83 |
$-345.91 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.15 | 912 | $7,428.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $8.81 | 912 | $8,030.16 | $8,033.75 |
+$601.92 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.50 | 945 | $8,032.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.23 | 945 | $8,717.63 | $8,718.88 |
+$685.13 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $9.52 | 916 | $8,715.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:35am ET | $9.10 | 916 | $8,340.18 | $8,343.32 |
$-375.56 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:50am ET | $8.82 | 946 | $8,341.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $8.46 | 946 | $8,003.07 | $8,005.03 |
$-338.29 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.57 | 836 | $8,004.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.35 | 836 | $8,652.52 | $8,652.85 |
+$647.82 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.37 | 834 | $8,648.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:50pm ET | $11.24 | 834 | $9,378.33 | $9,382.52 |
+$729.67 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.87 | 729 | $9,382.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $12.28 | 729 | $8,955.76 | $8,956.05 |
$-426.47 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.24 | 676 | $8,950.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.52 | 676 | $9,812.14 | $9,817.95 |
+$861.90 (+9.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $14.28 | 687 | $9,813.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.68 | 687 | $9,394.73 | $9,398.88 |
$-419.07 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.86 | 730 | $9,388.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 2:05pm ET | $13.89 | 730 | $10,139.70 | $10,150.05 |
+$751.17 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 1:55pm ET | $13.90 | 729 | $10,136.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $13.33 | 729 | $9,714.95 | $9,728.25 |
$-421.80 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 12:55pm ET | $13.66 | 712 | $9,725.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $12.80 | 712 | $9,113.53 | $9,115.86 |
$-612.39 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $12.54 | 726 | $9,104.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $11.99 | 726 | $8,704.74 | $8,716.56 |
$-399.30 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $11.78 | 739 | $8,709.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:50pm ET | $11.30 | 739 | $8,350.63 | $8,358.07 |
$-358.49 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $10.70 | 781 | $8,356.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $11.58 | 781 | $9,043.98 | $9,045.35 |
+$687.28 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $12.58 | 719 | $9,045.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.06 | 719 | $8,671.14 | $8,671.47 |
$-373.88 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $11.27 | 769 | $8,662.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $10.68 | 769 | $8,212.92 | $8,221.61 |
$-449.87 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.28 | 728 | $8,211.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $12.23 | 728 | $8,907.08 | $8,916.92 |
+$695.31 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET | $10.69 | 833 | $8,908.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.23 | 833 | $8,520.34 | $8,528.33 |
$-388.59 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 1:40pm ET | $10.27 | 830 | $8,528.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $11.18 | 830 | $9,275.25 | $9,275.33 |
+$747.00 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,275.33
Net Profit/Loss:
$-724.67
Total Return:
-7.25%