Compendium › Victor Volume › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 12 trades in period

-9.88%
Year to Date Return
$7,299.82
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$8,100.08
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:11:19

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,868
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
186 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,100.08
Current Value
$7,299.82
Period P&L
$-800.27
Max Drawdown
-22.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+8.03%
Worst Trade
-4.51%
Avg Trade Return
-0.76%
Avg Hold Time
15d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$191,317.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-800.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-800.27
Gross Return
-9.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 186 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,100.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $305.64 26 $7,946.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $305.61 26 $7,945.86 $8,078.25 $-0.78
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $309.28 26 $8,041.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $325.30 26 $8,457.93 $8,495.03 +$416.78
(+5.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
17.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $325.70 26 $8,468.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $328.18 26 $8,532.68 $8,559.38 +$64.35
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $324.79 26 $8,444.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 12:45pm ET $311.42 26 $8,097.05 $8,211.89 $-347.49
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $325.70 26 $8,468.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $312.88 26 $8,134.75 $7,878.31 $-333.58
(-3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
33.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $277.03 28 $7,756.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $271.96 28 $7,615.02 $7,736.49 $-141.82
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $265.35 29 $7,695.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $286.65 29 $8,312.85 $8,354.19 +$617.70
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $276.30 30 $8,289.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $264.64 30 $7,939.20 $8,004.39 $-349.80
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $273.43 29 $7,929.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $261.98 29 $7,597.42 $7,672.34 $-332.05
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.81 29 $7,621.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $272.99 29 $7,916.71 $7,967.56 +$295.22
(+3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $270.75 29 $7,851.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $259.44 29 $7,523.76 $7,639.57 $-327.99
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $251.20 30 $7,535.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:55am ET $239.87 30 $7,196.10 $7,299.82 $-339.75
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,299.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,700.18
Total Return: -27.00%
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