MRNA Victor Volume's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
+122.40%
Year to Date Return
$13,582.11
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$6,106.98
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
13.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
21.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 21.0
30-Day Momentum
58
+21.6%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
3.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.1
Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,086
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$6,106.98
Current Value
$13,582.11
Period P&L
$7,475.09
Max Drawdown
-73.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
17 /
24
Best Trade
+84.95%
Worst Trade
-8.60%
Avg Trade Return
+2.74%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$578,811.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,475.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,475.09
Gross Return
+122.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+122.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $6,106.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:20pm ET | $30.95 | 197 | $6,097.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $33.70 | 197 | $6,638.90 | $6,648.78 |
+$541.75 (+8.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.74 | 191 | $6,635.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $33.28 | 191 | $6,356.48 | $6,369.92 |
$-278.86 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $35.89 | 177 | $6,351.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $38.76 | 177 | $6,860.52 | $6,878.79 |
+$508.88 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $40.53 | 169 | $6,849.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.38 | 169 | $7,499.38 | $7,528.93 |
+$650.14 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.04 | 147 | $7,502.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.01 | 147 | $7,057.47 | $7,083.67 |
$-445.26 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:15pm ET | $47.73 | 148 | $7,064.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $45.72 | 148 | $6,766.56 | $6,785.95 |
$-297.72 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:30pm ET | $44.90 | 151 | $6,779.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.48 | 151 | $6,414.48 | $6,420.53 |
$-365.42 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.74 | 146 | $6,386.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $41.75 | 146 | $6,095.50 | $6,129.99 |
$-290.54 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $43.00 | 142 | $6,106.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $41.17 | 142 | $5,846.14 | $5,870.13 |
$-259.86 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $40.40 | 145 | $5,858.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $43.81 | 145 | $6,351.73 | $6,363.86 |
+$493.72 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $49.77 | 127 | $6,320.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $53.85 | 127 | $6,839.58 | $6,882.65 |
+$518.79 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $54.36 | 126 | $6,849.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.40 | 126 | $6,475.77 | $6,508.96 |
$-373.69 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $52.99 | 122 | $6,464.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $50.76 | 122 | $6,192.99 | $6,237.17 |
$-271.79 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $55.17 | 113 | $6,234.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.66 | 113 | $5,950.58 | $5,952.97 |
$-284.19 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $52.96 | 112 | $5,931.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:30pm ET | $50.80 | 112 | $5,689.60 | $5,710.68 |
$-242.29 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.07 | 107 | $5,678.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $50.84 | 107 | $5,439.88 | $5,472.26 |
$-238.42 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $49.40 | 110 | $5,434.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.76 | 110 | $5,913.60 | $5,951.86 |
+$479.60 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.64 | 106 | $5,897.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $53.23 | 106 | $5,642.38 | $5,696.40 |
$-255.46 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:25pm ET | $47.07 | 121 | $5,695.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $45.15 | 121 | $5,462.55 | $5,463.48 |
$-232.92 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.08 | 109 | $5,459.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $54.60 | 109 | $5,951.40 | $5,955.61 |
+$492.13 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:40pm ET | $47.97 | 124 | $5,948.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $45.99 | 124 | $5,702.76 | $5,710.09 |
$-245.52 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $47.44 | 120 | $5,692.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $45.06 | 120 | $5,407.20 | $5,425.09 |
$-285.00 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 1:10pm ET | $45.12 | 120 | $5,414.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $49.08 | 120 | $5,890.20 | $5,900.89 |
+$475.80 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $51.60 | 114 | $5,882.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $49.51 | 114 | $5,644.71 | $5,663.20 |
$-237.69 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.66 | 107 | $5,634.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $57.17 | 107 | $6,117.19 | $6,145.77 |
+$482.57 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.95 | 102 | $6,114.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $65.58 | 102 | $6,689.16 | $6,720.03 |
+$574.26 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 12:30pm ET | $68.54 | 98 | $6,716.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.80 | 98 | $7,428.40 | $7,432.00 |
+$711.97 (+10.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $81.46 | 91 | $7,412.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $77.99 | 91 | $7,097.09 | $7,116.23 |
$-315.77 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:20pm ET | $76.62 | 92 | $7,049.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $73.45 | 92 | $6,757.17 | $6,824.36 |
$-291.87 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:45pm ET | $67.60 | 100 | $6,760.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $64.42 | 100 | $6,442.00 | $6,506.36 |
$-318.00 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $61.65 | 105 | $6,472.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $58.84 | 105 | $6,178.21 | $6,211.85 |
$-294.51 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:45pm ET | $57.87 | 107 | $6,191.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $55.31 | 107 | $5,918.17 | $5,938.46 |
$-273.39 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $56.98 | 104 | $5,925.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.47 | 104 | $5,665.40 | $5,677.94 |
$-260.52 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $54.85 | 103 | $5,649.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $59.27 | 103 | $6,104.81 | $6,133.20 |
+$455.26 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $58.32 | 105 | $6,124.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $63.00 | 105 | $6,615.00 | $6,624.19 |
+$490.99 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 12:10pm ET | $63.85 | 103 | $6,577.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.10 | 103 | $12,164.24 | $12,211.36 |
+$5,587.17 (+84.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:15pm ET | $146.00 | 83 | $12,118.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $133.44 | 83 | $11,075.52 | $11,168.78 |
$-1,042.58 (-8.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.42 | 75 | $11,056.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $159.34 | 75 | $11,950.50 | $12,063.12 |
+$894.34 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.68 | 88 | $12,028.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 11:40am ET | $148.16 | 88 | $13,038.08 | $13,072.92 |
+$1,009.80 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $150.29 | 86 | $12,924.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:35am ET | $144.03 | 86 | $12,386.58 | $12,534.56 |
$-538.36 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.56 | 73 | $12,377.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET | $183.91 | 73 | $13,425.43 | $13,582.11 |
+$1,047.55 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,582.11
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,582.11
Total Return:
+35.82%