Compendium › Victor Volume › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 25 trades in period

-16.12%
Year to Date Return
$27,605.09
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$32,910.50
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:54

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.7/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 43.5/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 41.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,118
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$32,910.50
Current Value
$27,605.09
Period P&L
$-5,305.42
Max Drawdown
-39.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
9 / 16
Best Trade
+10.28%
Worst Trade
-8.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,739,917.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,305.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,305.42
Gross Return
-16.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $32,910.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $284.79 115 $32,750.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:50am ET $307.78 115 $35,395.16 $35,450.16 +$2,644.31
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $312.15 113 $35,272.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $337.52 113 $38,139.76 $38,316.97 +$2,866.81
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $339.61 112 $38,035.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:30am ET $325.04 112 $36,404.91 $36,686.00 $-1,630.97
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $343.59 106 $36,420.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $373.07 106 $39,545.42 $39,810.89 +$3,124.89
(+8.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $375.86 105 $39,464.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET $406.78 105 $42,711.90 $43,058.02 +$3,247.13
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $404.86 106 $42,914.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $437.85 106 $46,412.10 $46,555.38 +$3,497.36
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $433.89 107 $46,426.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $415.17 107 $44,423.19 $44,552.34 $-2,003.04
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $437.79 101 $44,216.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $418.51 101 $42,269.51 $42,605.06 $-1,947.28
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:40pm ET $374.14 113 $42,277.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $377.01 113 $42,601.57 $42,928.81 +$323.74
(+0.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $425.51 100 $42,550.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $405.40 100 $40,540.50 $40,918.81 $-2,010.00
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,068.76 38 $40,612.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,013.98 38 $38,531.24 $38,837.36 $-2,081.45
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $953.80 40 $38,152.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $915.30 40 $36,612.00 $37,297.36 $-1,540.00
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,213.52 30 $36,405.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,136.76 30 $34,102.80 $34,994.56 $-2,302.80
(-6.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $1,116.98 31 $34,626.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET $1,061.77 31 $32,914.87 $33,282.89 $-1,711.66
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,164.49 28 $32,605.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,068.12 28 $29,907.36 $30,584.53 $-2,698.36
(-8.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1,055.41 28 $29,551.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $1,007.27 28 $28,203.56 $29,236.54 $-1,347.99
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $912.67 32 $29,205.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:35am ET $988.37 32 $31,627.84 $31,658.85 +$2,422.31
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $878.35 36 $31,620.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $842.18 36 $30,318.48 $30,356.73 $-1,302.12
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $893.01 33 $29,469.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $968.62 33 $31,964.46 $32,852.03 +$2,495.29
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $987.50 33 $32,587.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $933.72 33 $30,812.85 $31,077.38 $-1,774.65
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $900.96 34 $30,632.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $832.72 34 $28,312.35 $28,757.09 $-2,320.29
(-7.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $832.93 34 $28,319.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $799.48 34 $27,182.32 $27,619.79 $-1,137.30
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $964.02 28 $26,992.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $912.27 28 $25,543.42 $26,170.65 $-1,449.14
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $964.02 28 $26,992.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $925.43 28 $25,912.04 $25,090.13 $-1,080.52
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $940.52 26 $24,453.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,037.25 26 $26,968.60 $27,605.09 +$2,514.96
(+10.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,605.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,605.09
Total Return: +176.05%
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