Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

1
-19.2%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,873
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$6,880.35
Current Value
$3,732.38
Period P&L
$-3,148.04
Max Drawdown
-56.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
6 / 22
Best Trade
+9.12%
Worst Trade
-7.65%
Avg Trade Return
-2.02%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$323,931.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,148.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,148.04
Gross Return
-45.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-45.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $6,880.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:35pm ET $5.09 1,349 $6,866.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET $4.88 1,349 $6,583.12 $6,583.64 $-283.29
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $4.76 1,383 $6,579.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $4.57 1,383 $6,313.40 $6,317.27 $-266.37
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $4.63 1,364 $6,315.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $4.42 1,364 $6,028.88 $6,030.83 $-286.44
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 2:50pm ET $4.47 1,347 $6,027.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET $4.87 1,347 $6,559.89 $6,562.89 +$532.06
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $5.07 1,293 $6,561.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,293 $6,154.29 $6,155.21 $-407.68
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $4.95 1,244 $6,151.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $4.95 1,244 $6,164.02 $6,167.65 +$12.44
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:35pm ET $4.88 1,263 $6,163.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:50am ET $5.32 1,263 $6,725.47 $6,729.68 +$562.03
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $4.88 1,379 $6,729.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $4.66 1,379 $6,433.03 $6,433.33 $-296.35
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.79 1,343 $6,432.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $5.18 1,343 $6,957.68 $6,958.31 +$524.98
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $5.78 1,203 $6,953.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET $5.53 1,203 $6,658.60 $6,663.57 $-294.74
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET $5.79 1,150 $6,658.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:50am ET $5.55 1,150 $6,380.31 $6,385.50 $-278.07
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $6.07 1,051 $6,384.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $6.57 1,051 $6,905.07 $6,905.75 +$520.25
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $6.36 1,086 $6,901.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $6.08 1,086 $6,602.88 $6,607.10 $-298.65
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
14 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $5.78 1,144 $6,606.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $5.38 1,144 $6,154.72 $6,155.22 $-451.88
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $6.03 1,020 $6,150.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $5.78 1,020 $5,900.70 $5,905.32 $-249.90
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $5.73 1,030 $5,901.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $5.49 1,030 $5,655.42 $5,658.84 $-246.48
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $5.22 1,083 $5,658.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET $4.98 1,083 $5,393.02 $5,393.18 $-265.66
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:45am ET $4.79 1,125 $5,388.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:00am ET $5.18 1,125 $5,825.36 $5,829.79 +$436.61
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $4.99 1,169 $5,827.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $4.78 1,169 $5,593.66 $5,595.99 $-233.80
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:40pm ET $4.68 1,197 $5,595.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $4.49 1,197 $5,368.55 $5,368.56 $-227.43
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:45am ET $4.79 1,125 $5,388.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $4.68 1,125 $5,270.62 $5,250.43 $-118.13
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
34.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 3:05pm ET $4.86 1,080 $5,248.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $4.66 1,080 $5,038.20 $5,039.83 $-210.60
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $4.72 1,066 $5,036.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $4.51 1,066 $4,812.99 $4,815.97 $-223.86
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $4.63 1,041 $4,814.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:55am ET $4.43 1,041 $4,616.83 $4,618.18 $-197.79
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $4.63 1,041 $4,814.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:10am ET $4.43 1,041 $4,606.43 $4,409.98 $-208.20
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $4.38 1,006 $4,406.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $4.05 1,006 $4,069.27 $4,072.97 $-337.01
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $3.94 1,033 $4,070.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $3.77 1,033 $3,894.41 $3,897.15 $-175.82
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $3.84 1,014 $3,896.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $3.68 1,014 $3,731.52 $3,732.38 $-164.77
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,732.38
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,267.62
Total Return: -62.68%
Back to Victor Volume