Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:24

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 13.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,075
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$16,251.73
Current Value
$11,160.93
Period P&L
$-5,090.79
Max Drawdown
-47.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.44

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
3 / 14
Best Trade
+8.89%
Worst Trade
-5.08%
Avg Trade Return
-2.15%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$429,934.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,090.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,090.79
Gross Return
-31.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-31.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $16,251.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:45pm ET $195.29 84 $16,404.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $186.50 84 $15,666.00 $15,676.31 $-738.37
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $192.50 81 $15,592.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $184.31 81 $14,929.11 $15,012.92 $-663.39
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $171.68 87 $14,936.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET $164.80 87 $14,337.60 $14,414.36 $-598.56
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $165.81 86 $14,259.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $157.76 86 $13,567.36 $13,722.06 $-692.30
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $146.14 93 $13,591.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $139.57 93 $12,980.01 $13,111.05 $-611.01
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $142.40 92 $13,100.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $155.06 92 $14,265.52 $14,276.23 +$1,165.18
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $177.62 80 $14,209.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:10pm ET $170.15 80 $13,612.00 $13,678.63 $-597.60
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $245.00 55 $13,475.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $233.92 55 $12,865.60 $13,069.23 $-609.40
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $236.58 55 $13,011.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $226.03 55 $12,431.65 $12,488.98 $-580.25
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $151.71 82 $12,440.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET $144.93 82 $11,884.26 $11,933.02 $-555.96
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $145.71 81 $11,802.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:25am ET $138.31 81 $11,203.11 $11,333.62 $-599.40
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $132.67 85 $11,276.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $127.14 85 $10,807.32 $10,863.99 $-469.63
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $127.04 85 $10,798.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET $121.86 85 $10,358.52 $10,424.12 $-439.88
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $126.15 82 $10,344.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:00am ET $120.90 82 $9,913.80 $9,993.62 $-430.50
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $115.62 86 $9,943.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:45am ET $124.98 86 $10,748.28 $10,798.58 +$804.96
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $143.88 75 $10,790.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $155.45 75 $11,658.38 $11,666.33 +$867.75
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $152.86 76 $11,617.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $146.21 76 $11,111.96 $11,160.93 $-505.40
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,160.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,160.93
Total Return: +11.61%
Back to Victor Volume