Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:25:15

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 5.9/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,457
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,956.04
Current Value
$7,565.81
Period P&L
$-390.23
Max Drawdown
-50.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
8 / 9
Best Trade
+8.65%
Worst Trade
-13.12%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
14.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$246,446.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-390.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-390.23
Gross Return
-4.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $7,956.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:05pm ET $739.26 10 $7,392.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $769.55 10 $7,695.50 $7,853.75 +$302.90
(+4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET $759.08 10 $7,590.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $820.05 10 $8,200.45 $8,463.40 +$609.65
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:50pm ET $768.17 11 $8,449.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET $736.35 11 $8,099.80 $8,113.32 $-350.07
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET $732.74 11 $8,060.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:30am ET $775.73 11 $8,533.03 $8,586.21 +$472.89
(+5.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $792.14 10 $7,921.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:00am ET $759.83 10 $7,598.25 $8,263.06 $-323.15
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:55am ET $782.11 10 $7,821.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $749.28 10 $7,492.75 $7,934.66 $-328.40
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:55am ET $782.11 10 $7,821.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $740.50 10 $7,405.00 $7,518.51 $-416.15
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $739.71 10 $7,397.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $754.21 10 $7,542.10 $7,663.56 +$145.05
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $749.83 10 $7,498.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $703.09 10 $7,030.90 $7,196.16 $-467.40
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $704.43 10 $7,044.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $612.01 10 $6,120.10 $6,271.96 $-924.20
(-13.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
11 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $642.80 9 $5,785.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $616.78 9 $5,551.02 $6,037.74 $-234.22
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $595.65 10 $5,956.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $617.69 10 $6,176.90 $6,258.19 +$220.45
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $625.07 10 $6,250.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:35pm ET $675.41 10 $6,754.10 $6,761.59 +$503.40
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $662.41 10 $6,624.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $718.09 10 $7,180.91 $7,318.45 +$556.86
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $766.48 9 $6,898.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET $832.78 9 $7,495.02 $7,915.15 +$596.70
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $833.36 9 $7,500.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $797.55 9 $7,177.95 $7,592.86 $-322.29
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $800.47 9 $7,204.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $797.46 9 $7,177.14 $7,565.81 $-27.05
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,565.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,434.19
Total Return: -24.34%
Back to Victor Volume