Compendium › Victor Volume › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 26 trades in period

+12.79%
Year to Date Return
$11,264.65
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$9,987.19
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 15.1/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 14.1

30-Day Momentum

32
+11.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.6 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,492
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,987.19
Current Value
$11,264.65
Period P&L
$1,277.41
Max Drawdown
-60.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+16.37%
Worst Trade
-6.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$574,588.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,277.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,277.41
Gross Return
+12.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,987.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 2:20pm ET $13.10 792 $10,371.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:25pm ET $14.15 792 $11,202.84 $11,202.95 +$831.60
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $14.84 755 $11,200.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET $16.03 755 $12,098.88 $12,101.40 +$898.45
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:30am ET $15.65 773 $12,093.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $16.98 773 $13,125.54 $13,133.36 +$1,031.96
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $17.97 730 $13,118.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $17.24 730 $12,581.55 $12,596.81 $-536.55
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $17.03 739 $12,585.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $16.35 739 $12,078.96 $12,090.59 $-506.22
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.56 688 $12,081.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $16.68 688 $11,472.40 $11,481.71 $-608.88
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $15.61 735 $11,473.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $14.93 735 $10,973.55 $10,981.91 $-499.80
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $13.61 806 $10,973.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $13.02 806 $10,498.15 $10,506.37 $-475.54
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $14.35 732 $10,500.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $15.16 732 $11,097.12 $11,102.95 +$596.58
(+5.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $17.12 648 $11,093.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:10am ET $16.37 648 $10,610.55 $10,619.74 $-483.21
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $17.58 604 $10,618.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET $16.84 604 $10,172.21 $10,173.63 $-446.11
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $19.40 524 $10,162.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 524 $11,826.68 $11,837.33 +$1,663.70
(+16.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.34 432 $11,810.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.77 432 $11,134.54 $11,160.99 $-676.34
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $27.86 400 $11,146.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $30.21 400 $12,084.00 $12,098.99 +$938.00
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:15pm ET $27.39 441 $12,078.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $26.28 441 $11,591.68 $11,611.69 $-487.30
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:25am ET $27.30 425 $11,600.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $25.56 425 $10,863.00 $10,874.31 $-737.38
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $23.62 460 $10,865.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:15am ET $22.57 460 $10,382.80 $10,391.91 $-482.40
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $21.27 488 $10,382.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $20.30 488 $9,903.96 $9,913.67 $-478.24
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $20.06 494 $9,907.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $19.03 494 $9,400.82 $9,407.32 $-506.35
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $18.63 504 $9,389.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $20.34 504 $10,253.88 $10,271.68 +$864.36
(+9.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:10am ET $22.74 451 $10,255.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET $24.63 451 $11,108.13 $11,123.98 +$852.30
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $22.57 492 $11,104.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $21.49 492 $10,570.62 $10,590.16 $-533.82
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $21.42 494 $10,581.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET $20.46 494 $10,107.24 $10,115.92 $-474.24
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $19.87 509 $10,115.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $21.50 509 $10,943.50 $10,943.76 +$827.84
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $18.45 593 $10,940.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $17.56 593 $10,410.12 $10,413.02 $-530.74
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $18.80 553 $10,396.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $20.34 553 $11,248.02 $11,264.65 +$851.62
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,264.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,264.65
Total Return: +12.65%
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