Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 20.3/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 19.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-13.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,233
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,187.66
Current Value
$13,408.13
Period P&L
$3,220.48
Max Drawdown
-53.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
7 / 12
Best Trade
+38.90%
Worst Trade
-7.10%
Avg Trade Return
+1.98%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$502,257.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,220.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,220.48
Gross Return
+31.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,187.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $218.72 46 $10,061.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET $209.97 46 $9,658.39 $9,784.92 $-402.73
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $205.59 47 $9,662.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $222.44 47 $10,454.45 $10,576.87 +$791.95
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $199.06 53 $10,549.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $190.90 53 $10,117.70 $10,144.60 $-432.27
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $181.05 56 $10,139.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:15am ET $173.70 56 $9,727.10 $9,732.63 $-411.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:40pm ET $162.35 59 $9,578.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $175.38 59 $10,347.42 $10,501.40 +$768.77
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $141.17 74 $10,446.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $153.13 74 $11,331.99 $11,386.81 +$885.41
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
7 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $167.68 67 $11,234.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $232.90 67 $15,604.30 $15,756.55 +$4,369.74
(+38.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $263.14 59 $15,525.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $252.13 59 $14,875.67 $15,106.96 $-649.59
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $246.49 61 $15,035.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET $236.55 61 $14,429.55 $14,500.62 $-606.34
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $239.96 60 $14,397.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $222.92 60 $13,375.20 $13,477.92 $-1,022.70
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET $224.45 60 $13,466.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $242.99 60 $14,579.40 $14,590.62 +$1,112.70
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $251.65 57 $14,344.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 11:20am ET $271.99 57 $15,503.43 $15,750.00 +$1,159.38
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $277.20 56 $15,523.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:50am ET $263.42 56 $14,751.52 $14,978.32 $-771.68
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:30pm ET $269.32 55 $14,812.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:50am ET $257.65 55 $14,171.02 $14,336.74 $-641.58
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $251.65 57 $14,344.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $284.75 57 $16,230.75 $16,223.44 +$1,886.70
(+13.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
30.7d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $335.74 48 $16,115.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 10:55am ET $322.18 48 $15,464.64 $15,572.56 $-650.88
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:10pm ET $324.16 48 $15,559.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $309.66 48 $14,863.68 $14,876.56 $-696.00
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $329.85 45 $14,843.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $310.73 45 $13,982.85 $14,016.16 $-860.40
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $338.48 41 $13,877.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $323.65 41 $13,269.85 $13,408.13 $-608.03
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,408.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,408.13
Total Return: +34.08%
Back to Victor Volume