Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:05:54

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,283
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
190 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$6,165.12
Current Value
$7,564.74
Period P&L
$1,399.64
Max Drawdown
-44.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+13.41%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+2.23%
Avg Hold Time
15.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$173,383.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,399.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,399.64
Gross Return
+22.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 190 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $6,165.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 1:15pm ET $48.00 124 $5,952.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $47.66 124 $5,909.84 $5,919.58 $-42.63
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $51.03 116 $5,919.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $48.91 116 $5,673.56 $5,673.66 $-245.92
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $48.41 117 $5,663.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $47.22 117 $5,524.74 $5,534.43 $-139.23
(-2.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
18.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $48.98 112 $5,485.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $53.87 112 $6,033.44 $6,082.11 +$547.68
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $51.25 118 $6,047.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $56.42 118 $6,657.56 $6,692.17 +$610.06
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $48.98 112 $5,485.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.55 112 $6,221.60 $7,428.01 +$735.84
(+13.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
32.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $44.51 166 $7,388.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $42.72 166 $7,090.69 $7,130.60 $-297.41
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $41.47 171 $7,091.37 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $39.81 171 $6,807.51 $6,846.74 $-283.86
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $36.46 187 $6,817.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $39.62 187 $7,408.94 $7,438.59 +$591.85
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:25am ET $37.75 197 $7,436.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $36.21 197 $7,133.37 $7,135.21 $-303.38
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $36.67 194 $7,113.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $39.61 194 $7,684.34 $7,705.57 +$570.36
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $33.88 227 $7,689.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $34.31 227 $7,789.50 $7,805.45 +$99.88
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $34.66 225 $7,798.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $33.59 225 $7,557.79 $7,564.74 $-240.71
(-3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,564.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,435.26
Total Return: -24.35%
Back to Victor Volume