Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:35:59

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 4.4/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,451
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
183 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,266.04
Current Value
$7,492.61
Period P&L
$226.55
Max Drawdown
-48.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+11.51%
Worst Trade
-10.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.56%
Avg Hold Time
12.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$200,886.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$226.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$226.55
Gross Return
+3.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 183 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $7,266.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $583.63 12 $7,003.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $618.88 12 $7,426.56 $7,697.82 +$423.00
(+6.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $637.40 12 $7,648.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $611.67 12 $7,340.04 $7,389.06 $-308.76
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $588.28 12 $7,059.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $564.46 12 $6,773.46 $7,103.16 $-285.90
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $542.34 13 $7,050.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $546.19 13 $7,100.47 $7,153.21 +$50.05
(+0.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $517.34 13 $6,725.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $495.55 13 $6,442.15 $6,869.94 $-283.27
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $505.67 13 $6,573.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET $484.69 13 $6,300.97 $6,597.20 $-272.74
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $469.81 14 $6,577.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $491.25 14 $6,877.50 $6,897.36 +$300.16
(+4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $526.91 13 $6,849.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 13 $6,118.65 $6,166.11 $-731.25
(-10.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:05pm ET $479.78 12 $5,757.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $460.36 12 $5,524.32 $5,933.07 $-233.04
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET $507.89 11 $5,586.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $540.21 11 $5,942.31 $6,288.59 +$355.52
(+6.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET $526.70 11 $5,793.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $582.04 11 $6,402.49 $6,897.38 +$608.79
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET $507.89 11 $5,586.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $566.34 11 $6,229.69 $7,540.28 +$642.90
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
34.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $586.35 12 $7,036.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:30am ET $634.07 12 $7,608.78 $8,112.80 +$572.52
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $628.53 12 $7,542.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:00pm ET $603.21 12 $7,238.49 $7,808.87 $-303.93
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $628.53 12 $7,542.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $602.18 12 $7,226.16 $7,492.61 $-316.26
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,492.61
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,507.39
Total Return: -25.07%
Back to Victor Volume