Compendium › Victor Volume › TQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 22 trades in period

-34.74%
Year to Date Return
$9,595.41
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$14,703.32
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:39:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,124
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,703.32
Current Value
$9,595.41
Period P&L
$-5,107.92
Max Drawdown
-50.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
6 / 16
Best Trade
+8.57%
Worst Trade
-6.31%
Avg Trade Return
-1.81%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$566,223.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,107.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,107.92
Gross Return
-34.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-34.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $14,703.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $52.77 278 $14,670.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $54.16 278 $15,056.48 $15,106.43 +$386.42
(+2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $55.31 273 $15,098.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $52.91 273 $14,444.43 $14,452.56 $-653.86
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $55.22 261 $14,412.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $52.05 261 $13,584.55 $13,624.80 $-827.76
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $51.02 267 $13,622.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET $55.25 267 $14,750.42 $14,752.88 +$1,128.08
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $56.77 259 $14,704.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $54.26 259 $14,054.58 $14,103.07 $-649.81
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.99 261 $14,091.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $51.81 261 $13,522.41 $13,534.09 $-568.98
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $49.78 271 $13,491.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $47.14 271 $12,774.94 $12,817.30 $-716.80
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET $49.52 258 $12,776.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $51.89 258 $13,387.62 $13,428.76 +$611.46
(+4.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $51.23 262 $13,422.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $49.10 262 $12,865.51 $12,872.01 $-556.75
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $54.67 235 $12,847.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET $59.28 235 $13,929.63 $13,954.19 +$1,082.18
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $87.18 160 $13,948.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $83.11 160 $13,297.47 $13,303.66 $-650.53
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $72.91 182 $13,269.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET $79.16 182 $14,407.12 $14,441.16 +$1,137.50
(+8.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $78.48 184 $14,440.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET $75.06 184 $13,810.12 $13,810.96 $-630.20
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.05 179 $13,791.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $73.89 179 $13,226.31 $13,245.32 $-565.64
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $75.29 175 $13,174.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $72.21 175 $12,637.62 $12,708.07 $-537.25
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $70.41 180 $12,673.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $65.97 180 $11,874.60 $11,908.87 $-799.20
(-6.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $70.11 169 $11,847.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $67.01 169 $11,324.69 $11,385.81 $-523.06
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $63.99 177 $11,326.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $61.22 177 $10,835.94 $10,895.52 $-490.29
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $61.79 176 $10,875.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET $59.26 176 $10,429.74 $10,450.22 $-445.30
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $71.21 146 $10,396.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $68.14 146 $9,948.44 $10,002.01 $-448.21
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $71.21 146 $10,396.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $68.35 146 $9,978.37 $9,583.73 $-418.28
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $71.21 146 $10,396.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $71.29 146 $10,408.33 $9,595.41 +$11.68
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,595.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-404.59
Total Return: -4.05%
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