Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:51

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.4/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,600
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,598.11
Current Value
$7,157.52
Period P&L
$-440.61
Max Drawdown
-42.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+8.41%
Worst Trade
-17.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
13.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$167,611.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-440.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-440.61
Gross Return
-5.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $7,598.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:05pm ET $324.54 23 $7,464.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:15am ET $350.53 23 $8,062.19 $8,081.36 +$597.77
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $342.57 23 $7,879.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $328.11 23 $7,546.53 $7,748.78 $-332.58
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $329.91 23 $7,587.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $356.52 23 $8,199.96 $8,360.81 +$612.03
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $351.83 23 $8,092.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $289.19 23 $6,651.37 $6,920.09 $-1,440.72
(-17.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $287.48 24 $6,899.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $275.36 24 $6,608.64 $6,629.33 $-290.76
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $268.16 24 $6,435.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $276.50 24 $6,636.00 $6,829.49 +$200.16
(+3.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $288.64 23 $6,638.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $277.06 23 $6,372.38 $6,563.26 $-266.23
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $288.64 23 $6,638.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $279.46 23 $6,427.58 $6,352.23 $-211.03
(-3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
25d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $377.49 16 $6,039.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $407.70 16 $6,523.12 $6,835.51 +$483.28
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $414.64 16 $6,634.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $449.51 16 $7,192.16 $7,393.43 +$557.92
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $414.64 16 $6,634.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $413.48 16 $6,615.68 $7,374.87 $-18.56
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
34.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $390.25 18 $7,024.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $378.17 18 $6,807.15 $7,157.52 $-217.35
(-3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,157.52
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,842.48
Total Return: -28.42%
Back to Victor Volume