Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:37:52

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
5.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.5/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,019
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
146 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,883.65
Current Value
$10,391.77
Period P&L
$508.07
Max Drawdown
-42.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+11.92%
Worst Trade
-8.32%
Avg Trade Return
+0.55%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$249,367.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$508.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$508.07
Gross Return
+5.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 146 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,883.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $26.99 372 $10,040.28
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.91 372 $9,638.52 $9,664.22 $-401.76
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $26.13 369 $9,641.71
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $28.26 369 $10,427.94 $10,450.45 +$786.23
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $26.13 400 $10,450.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $28.41 400 $11,364.00 $11,364.45 +$914.00
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.45 414 $11,364.30
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:15am ET $26.31 414 $10,890.27 $10,890.42 $-474.03
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $27.45 396 $10,870.20
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $29.73 396 $11,773.08 $11,793.30 +$902.88
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.39 430 $11,777.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $26.71 430 $11,485.30 $11,500.90 $-292.40
(-2.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $27.34 420 $11,482.80
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.60 420 $12,852.00 $12,870.10 +$1,369.20
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $29.57 435 $12,860.78
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET $28.38 435 $12,345.26 $12,354.58 $-515.52
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $24.52 503 $12,333.56
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $23.53 503 $11,835.59 $11,856.61 $-497.97
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $23.60 502 $11,849.71
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $22.65 502 $11,370.30 $11,377.20 $-479.41
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $23.60 502 $11,849.71
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $21.64 502 $10,864.28 $10,391.77 $-985.43
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,391.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$391.77
Total Return: +3.92%
Back to Victor Volume