Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:31

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 25.4/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 21.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,080
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,558.56
Current Value
$11,927.42
Period P&L
$-1,631.10
Max Drawdown
-31.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+6.04%
Worst Trade
-4.99%
Avg Trade Return
-0.88%
Avg Hold Time
14.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$264,226.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,631.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,631.10
Gross Return
-12.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $13,558.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:55pm ET $139.89 94 $13,149.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $147.13 94 $13,830.22 $13,855.21 +$680.56
(+5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $143.80 96 $13,804.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $145.69 96 $13,986.24 $14,036.65 +$181.44
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.90 97 $13,958.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:35am ET $138.13 97 $13,398.61 $13,476.96 $-559.69
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $135.40 99 $13,404.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $143.57 99 $14,213.43 $14,286.29 +$809.33
(+6.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $142.46 100 $14,246.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $136.68 100 $13,668.50 $13,708.29 $-578.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:55am ET $197.64 69 $13,637.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $188.53 69 $13,008.57 $13,079.70 $-628.59
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET $181.65 72 $13,078.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 10:00am ET $178.08 72 $12,821.76 $12,822.66 $-257.04
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:35am ET $175.56 73 $12,815.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:50am ET $168.45 73 $12,296.85 $12,303.63 $-519.03
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET $181.65 72 $13,078.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $172.59 72 $12,426.34 $11,651.17 $-652.46
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $183.54 63 $11,562.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $187.92 63 $11,838.96 $11,927.42 +$276.25
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,927.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,927.42
Total Return: +19.27%
Back to Victor Volume