AMGN Victor Volume's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 62 trades executed
+43.13%
2 Years Return
$14,875.35
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$10,392.58
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
33
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.5/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
36.9/100
× Confidence 0.91
= 33.5
30-Day Momentum
0
-4.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,857
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
511 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,392.58
Current Value
$14,875.35
Total P&L
$4,482.77
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
49
Winners / Losers
27 /
22
Best Trade
+8.72%
Worst Trade
-8.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.90%
Avg Hold Time
13.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,084,464.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,482.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,482.77
Gross Return
+43.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+43.13%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 511 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,392.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 20, 2024 3:55pm ET | $337.38 | 30 | $10,121.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $323.44 | 30 | $9,703.20 | $10,030.78 |
$-418.20 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $314.83 | 31 | $9,759.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $324.36 | 31 | $10,055.01 | $10,325.95 |
+$295.17 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 18, 2024 11:15am ET | $321.36 | 32 | $10,283.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 8, 2024 10:15am ET | $324.55 | 32 | $10,385.44 | $10,427.85 |
+$101.90 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 3:45pm ET | $322.21 | 32 | $10,310.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2024 2:15pm ET | $307.05 | 32 | $9,825.44 | $9,942.57 |
$-485.28 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2024 3:50pm ET | $295.96 | 33 | $9,766.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 15, 2024 9:45am ET | $283.29 | 33 | $9,348.41 | $9,524.30 |
$-418.27 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 12:50pm ET | $278.95 | 34 | $9,484.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $261.43 | 34 | $8,888.62 | $8,928.62 |
$-595.68 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 27, 2024 11:20am ET | $279.75 | 31 | $8,672.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2024 2:10pm ET | $268.46 | 31 | $8,322.26 | $8,578.78 |
$-349.84 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:15pm ET | $261.62 | 32 | $8,371.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2025 3:15pm ET | $262.98 | 32 | $8,415.36 | $8,622.30 |
+$43.52 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 10, 2025 3:45pm ET | $261.88 | 32 | $8,380.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 2:20pm ET | $282.90 | 32 | $9,052.80 | $9,294.94 |
+$672.64 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2025 3:50pm ET | $280.69 | 33 | $9,262.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2025 9:40am ET | $304.08 | 33 | $10,034.48 | $10,066.65 |
+$771.71 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2025 11:30am ET | $300.86 | 33 | $9,928.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 11:30am ET | $308.86 | 33 | $10,192.22 | $10,330.48 |
+$263.84 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2025 12:50pm ET | $304.65 | 33 | $10,053.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $330.74 | 33 | $10,914.42 | $11,191.45 |
+$860.97 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $312.05 | 35 | $10,921.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $302.93 | 35 | $10,602.55 | $10,872.25 |
$-319.20 (-2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:40am ET | $313.41 | 34 | $10,655.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 11:55am ET | $300.41 | 34 | $10,213.94 | $10,430.25 |
$-442.00 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 1:00pm ET | $288.61 | 36 | $10,389.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $272.57 | 36 | $9,812.52 | $9,852.81 |
$-577.44 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 12:25pm ET | $271.91 | 36 | $9,788.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 3:10pm ET | $293.71 | 36 | $10,573.49 | $10,637.72 |
+$784.91 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2025 3:00pm ET | $282.47 | 37 | $10,451.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $270.29 | 37 | $10,000.73 | $10,187.06 |
$-450.66 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 1:20pm ET | $272.32 | 37 | $10,075.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 1:20pm ET | $275.29 | 37 | $10,185.73 | $10,296.95 |
+$109.89 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 2:40pm ET | $271.73 | 37 | $10,054.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 2:40pm ET | $291.53 | 37 | $10,786.61 | $11,029.55 |
+$732.60 (+7.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $287.49 | 38 | $10,924.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 2:30pm ET | $275.64 | 38 | $10,474.50 | $10,579.33 |
$-450.22 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 3:35pm ET | $279.45 | 37 | $10,339.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 3:35pm ET | $292.76 | 37 | $10,832.12 | $11,071.80 |
+$492.47 (+4.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 3:35pm ET | $298.99 | 37 | $11,062.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $286.90 | 37 | $10,615.30 | $10,624.47 |
$-447.33 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 2:10pm ET | $284.94 | 37 | $10,542.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 2:10pm ET | $285.21 | 37 | $10,552.92 | $10,634.61 |
+$10.14 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $287.04 | 37 | $10,620.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 12:35pm ET | $275.47 | 37 | $10,192.39 | $10,206.71 |
$-427.91 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 1:20pm ET | $281.85 | 36 | $10,146.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $270.47 | 36 | $9,736.74 | $9,796.85 |
$-409.86 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $273.95 | 35 | $9,588.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:35am ET | $296.10 | 35 | $10,363.50 | $10,572.10 |
+$775.25 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $297.53 | 35 | $10,413.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $292.99 | 35 | $10,254.65 | $10,413.20 |
$-158.90 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $291.85 | 35 | $10,214.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 10:55am ET | $316.52 | 35 | $11,078.29 | $11,276.73 |
+$863.54 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 1:05pm ET | $317.50 | 35 | $11,112.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET | $344.09 | 35 | $12,043.15 | $12,207.39 |
+$930.65 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET | $333.38 | 36 | $12,001.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:25am ET | $333.51 | 36 | $12,006.18 | $12,211.89 |
+$4.50 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 3:10pm ET | $321.96 | 37 | $11,912.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 3:10pm ET | $330.54 | 37 | $12,229.98 | $12,529.34 |
+$317.46 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 3:25pm ET | $329.43 | 38 | $12,518.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $330.71 | 38 | $12,566.98 | $12,577.98 |
+$48.64 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $343.31 | 36 | $12,359.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $373.23 | 36 | $13,436.28 | $13,655.10 |
+$1,077.12 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $377.71 | 36 | $13,597.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $368.88 | 36 | $13,279.50 | $13,337.05 |
$-318.06 (-2.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET | $377.17 | 35 | $13,200.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $361.84 | 35 | $12,664.38 | $12,800.48 |
$-536.57 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.11 | 34 | $12,583.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $355.11 | 34 | $12,073.74 | $12,290.48 |
$-510.00 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:30pm ET | $350.27 | 35 | $12,259.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.25 | 35 | $11,768.75 | $11,799.95 |
$-490.53 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $349.52 | 33 | $11,534.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $335.18 | 33 | $11,060.94 | $11,326.73 |
$-473.22 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $349.35 | 32 | $11,179.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.61 | 32 | $10,451.36 | $10,598.89 |
$-727.84 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $324.82 | 32 | $10,394.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $339.95 | 32 | $10,878.56 | $11,083.37 |
+$484.48 (+4.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $334.61 | 33 | $11,042.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 11:35am ET | $336.06 | 33 | $11,089.98 | $11,131.22 |
+$47.85 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET | $354.60 | 31 | $10,992.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:35pm ET | $369.45 | 31 | $11,453.10 | $11,591.72 |
+$460.50 (+4.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $365.70 | 31 | $11,336.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $395.11 | 31 | $12,248.56 | $12,503.43 |
+$911.71 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET | $354.60 | 31 | $10,992.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $383.07 | 31 | $11,875.17 | $13,386.00 |
+$882.57 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
34.8d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $384.17 | 34 | $13,061.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $415.44 | 34 | $14,124.96 | $14,449.18 |
+$1,063.18 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 3:15pm ET | $409.86 | 35 | $14,345.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:20pm ET | $442.94 | 35 | $15,502.90 | $15,606.98 |
+$1,157.80 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $438.64 | 35 | $15,352.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.29 | 35 | $14,115.15 | $14,369.73 |
$-1,237.25 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $392.44 | 36 | $14,127.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $376.09 | 36 | $13,539.24 | $13,781.13 |
$-588.60 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $375.80 | 36 | $13,528.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $406.20 | 36 | $14,623.02 | $14,875.35 |
+$1,094.22 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,875.35
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,875.35
Total Return:
+48.75%