Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:30:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.8/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 51.7/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 45.2

30-Day Momentum

0
-11.8%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-45 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
74,612
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,938.20
Current Value
$22,931.61
Total P&L
$10,993.41
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
46
Winners / Losers
23 / 23
Best Trade
+12.48%
Worst Trade
-9.49%
Avg Trade Return
+1.63%
Avg Hold Time
11.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,726,681.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,993.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,993.41
Gross Return
+92.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+92.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,938.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2024 3:15pm ET $162.82 73 $11,885.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2024 3:15pm ET $163.72 73 $11,951.56 $12,016.31 +$65.74
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2024 3:40pm ET $165.50 72 $11,916.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2024 9:30am ET $179.62 72 $12,932.64 $13,032.95 +$1,016.64
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET $174.28 74 $12,896.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 9:30am ET $170.32 74 $12,603.68 $12,739.91 $-293.04
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 22, 2024 3:50pm ET $164.96 77 $12,701.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET $184.60 77 $14,214.20 $14,252.19 +$1,512.28
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2024 9:30am ET $188.31 75 $14,122.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET $189.09 75 $14,181.75 $14,311.06 +$58.87
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2025 9:30am ET $192.14 74 $14,218.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 24, 2025 9:30am ET $199.83 74 $14,787.42 $14,880.12 +$569.06
(+4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $193.54 76 $14,709.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 10:50am ET $185.36 76 $14,087.36 $14,258.44 $-621.68
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2025 9:30am ET $186.60 76 $14,181.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 9:30am ET $178.04 76 $13,531.04 $13,608.13 $-650.31
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2025 2:50pm ET $169.92 80 $13,593.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 12:55pm ET $163.04 80 $13,043.20 $13,057.73 $-550.40
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 3:50pm ET $167.21 78 $13,042.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2025 9:50am ET $159.78 78 $12,463.11 $12,478.46 $-579.27
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2025 2:00pm ET $163.17 76 $12,400.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 11:00am ET $156.37 76 $11,884.12 $11,961.66 $-516.80
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 11:25am ET $152.68 78 $11,908.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:45am ET $146.46 78 $11,423.49 $11,476.50 $-485.16
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $144.97 79 $11,452.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:25pm ET $156.73 79 $12,381.67 $12,405.54 +$929.04
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 3:50pm ET $153.32 80 $12,265.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 9:55am ET $147.11 80 $11,768.80 $11,908.74 $-496.80
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 3:50pm ET $151.26 78 $11,798.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 9:30am ET $164.83 78 $12,856.40 $12,967.01 +$1,058.27
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 3:50pm ET $160.65 80 $12,851.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:20am ET $154.02 80 $12,321.60 $12,436.77 $-530.24
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 2:55pm ET $155.48 79 $12,282.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 9:30am ET $168.73 79 $13,329.67 $13,483.52 +$1,046.75
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
18 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $164.93 81 $13,359.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $174.52 81 $14,136.12 $14,260.31 +$776.79
(+5.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET $176.39 80 $14,111.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 10:50am ET $169.27 80 $13,541.60 $13,690.71 $-569.60
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 3:50pm ET $164.88 83 $13,685.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $178.53 83 $14,817.99 $14,823.66 +$1,132.95
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $175.87 84 $14,773.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 2:50pm ET $190.02 84 $15,961.52 $16,012.10 +$1,188.44
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 2:50pm ET $191.56 83 $15,899.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 2:50pm ET $204.02 83 $16,933.66 $17,046.70 +$1,034.60
(+6.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:30am ET $201.64 84 $16,937.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET $226.80 84 $19,051.20 $19,160.14 +$2,113.44
(+12.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET $229.95 83 $19,085.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:35am ET $250.52 83 $20,793.16 $20,867.45 +$1,707.31
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $249.06 83 $20,671.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 2:00pm ET $244.45 83 $20,289.35 $20,485.23 $-382.22
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 2:15pm ET $240.65 85 $20,454.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 9:55am ET $259.96 85 $22,096.60 $22,127.01 +$1,641.78
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 3:35pm ET $268.81 82 $22,042.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 2:20pm ET $290.51 82 $23,822.18 $23,906.77 +$1,779.76
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
28 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $291.43 82 $23,897.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $279.00 82 $22,877.59 $22,887.10 $-1,019.67
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
29 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $274.40 83 $22,775.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET $299.50 83 $24,858.51 $24,970.41 +$2,083.31
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:55am ET $303.26 82 $24,867.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 2:00pm ET $291.10 82 $23,869.79 $23,972.88 $-997.53
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 2:00pm ET $301.73 79 $23,836.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $326.00 79 $25,753.61 $25,889.57 +$1,916.70
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $326.15 79 $25,765.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 12:15pm ET $312.58 79 $24,693.82 $24,817.94 $-1,071.64
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
33 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 2:20pm ET $317.34 78 $24,752.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 12:25pm ET $304.50 78 $23,751.00 $23,816.42 $-1,001.52
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
34 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:20pm ET $301.68 78 $23,531.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $325.94 78 $25,423.32 $25,708.70 +$1,892.28
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1d held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $325.56 78 $25,393.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $338.44 78 $26,398.32 $26,713.34 +$1,004.64
(+4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.23 78 $26,381.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $314.86 78 $24,559.08 $24,890.48 $-1,822.86
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $324.42 76 $24,655.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $319.20 76 $24,259.19 $24,493.75 $-396.73
(-1.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $308.10 79 $24,339.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $294.59 79 $23,272.61 $23,426.46 $-1,067.29
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $297.65 78 $23,216.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $325.13 78 $25,360.41 $25,570.17 +$2,143.71
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $361.84 70 $25,328.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:20am ET $346.86 70 $24,279.85 $24,521.22 $-1,048.95
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $343.43 71 $24,383.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:45am ET $371.21 71 $26,355.91 $26,493.60 +$1,972.38
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.7d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $354.98 74 $26,268.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $321.29 74 $23,775.46 $24,000.54 $-2,493.06
(-9.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $319.74 75 $23,980.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $346.57 75 $25,992.75 $26,012.79 +$2,012.25
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $347.78 74 $25,735.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $333.85 74 $24,704.53 $24,981.61 $-1,031.18
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $347.78 74 $25,735.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:05am ET $333.46 74 $24,676.04 $23,921.94 $-1,059.67
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
46 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $359.92 66 $23,754.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:55am ET $344.92 66 $22,764.39 $22,931.61 $-990.33
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,931.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,931.61
Total Return: +129.32%
Back to Victor Volume