ISRG Victor Volume's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 70 trades executed
+0.50%
2 Years Return
$15,015.26
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$14,940.81
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
29.8/100
× Confidence 0.90
= 26.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,993
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
516 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$14,940.81
Current Value
$15,015.26
Total P&L
$74.45
Max Drawdown
-29.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
55
Winners / Losers
23 /
32
Best Trade
+24.68%
Worst Trade
-7.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
11d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,795,493.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$74.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$74.45
Gross Return
+0.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.50%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 516 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $14,940.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 3:25pm ET | $476.87 | 30 | $14,306.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2024 3:25pm ET | $489.55 | 30 | $14,686.50 | $14,875.41 |
+$380.40 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2024 3:40pm ET | $487.50 | 30 | $14,625.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2024 3:40pm ET | $511.80 | 30 | $15,354.00 | $15,604.41 |
+$729.00 (+5.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2024 3:45pm ET | $512.41 | 30 | $15,372.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2024 2:45pm ET | $541.35 | 30 | $16,240.35 | $16,472.46 |
+$868.05 (+5.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2024 3:45pm ET | $528.01 | 31 | $16,368.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 6, 2024 3:45pm ET | $551.21 | 31 | $17,087.36 | $17,191.66 |
+$719.20 (+4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 3:55pm ET | $538.89 | 31 | $16,705.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2024 3:55pm ET | $527.11 | 31 | $16,340.41 | $16,826.48 |
$-365.18 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2024 3:55pm ET | $521.98 | 32 | $16,703.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 9:40am ET | $565.39 | 32 | $18,092.34 | $18,215.46 |
+$1,388.98 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2025 2:20pm ET | $580.62 | 31 | $17,999.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2025 2:20pm ET | $589.20 | 31 | $18,265.20 | $18,481.44 |
+$265.98 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2025 3:05pm ET | $583.65 | 31 | $18,093.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $558.95 | 31 | $17,327.45 | $17,715.74 |
$-765.70 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2025 3:40pm ET | $583.64 | 30 | $17,509.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2025 9:45am ET | $560.16 | 30 | $16,804.80 | $17,011.34 |
$-704.40 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 3:15pm ET | $566.54 | 30 | $16,996.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 1:25pm ET | $543.75 | 30 | $16,312.50 | $16,327.79 |
$-683.55 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 7, 2025 3:05pm ET | $520.06 | 31 | $16,121.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $498.74 | 31 | $15,460.94 | $15,667.01 |
$-660.77 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 12:10pm ET | $488.49 | 32 | $15,631.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2025 12:10pm ET | $496.78 | 32 | $15,896.96 | $15,932.29 |
+$265.28 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2025 3:25pm ET | $505.35 | 31 | $15,665.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $469.47 | 31 | $14,553.57 | $14,820.01 |
$-1,112.28 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $435.57 | 34 | $14,809.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:15am ET | $471.44 | 34 | $16,028.96 | $16,039.59 |
+$1,219.58 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 2:30pm ET | $463.63 | 34 | $15,763.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET | $501.52 | 34 | $17,051.68 | $17,327.85 |
+$1,288.26 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 3:50pm ET | $489.60 | 35 | $17,136.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 10:45am ET | $469.47 | 35 | $16,431.45 | $16,623.30 |
$-704.55 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 3:25pm ET | $476.71 | 34 | $16,208.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $515.31 | 34 | $17,520.54 | $17,935.70 |
+$1,312.40 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $508.18 | 35 | $17,786.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $554.00 | 35 | $19,390.00 | $19,539.40 |
+$1,603.70 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $565.05 | 34 | $19,211.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 10:25am ET | $542.44 | 34 | $18,442.96 | $18,770.66 |
$-768.74 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 12:05pm ET | $539.02 | 34 | $18,326.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $504.40 | 34 | $17,149.60 | $17,593.58 |
$-1,177.08 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 2:00pm ET | $526.54 | 33 | $17,375.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 12:30pm ET | $504.14 | 33 | $16,636.62 | $16,854.38 |
$-739.20 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 2:00pm ET | $522.43 | 32 | $16,717.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 2:00pm ET | $514.83 | 32 | $16,474.40 | $16,611.02 |
$-243.36 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $512.10 | 32 | $16,387.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 11:45am ET | $491.38 | 32 | $15,724.16 | $15,947.98 |
$-663.04 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 2:00pm ET | $492.92 | 32 | $15,773.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $472.75 | 32 | $15,128.00 | $15,302.54 |
$-645.44 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 3:05pm ET | $471.01 | 32 | $15,072.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 3:05pm ET | $472.34 | 32 | $15,114.91 | $15,345.14 |
+$42.59 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 3:50pm ET | $468.30 | 32 | $14,985.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 12:15pm ET | $449.45 | 32 | $14,382.40 | $14,741.94 |
$-603.20 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $453.84 | 32 | $14,522.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 1:50pm ET | $435.64 | 32 | $13,940.48 | $14,159.54 |
$-582.40 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $434.37 | 32 | $13,899.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $440.68 | 32 | $14,101.76 | $14,361.46 |
+$201.92 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $447.89 | 32 | $14,332.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 3:50pm ET | $429.30 | 32 | $13,737.60 | $13,766.58 |
$-594.88 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:50pm ET | $435.96 | 31 | $13,514.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $543.55 | 31 | $16,850.05 | $17,101.87 |
+$3,335.29 (+24.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $535.67 | 31 | $16,605.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $578.82 | 31 | $17,943.42 | $18,439.53 |
+$1,337.66 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 3:10pm ET | $572.66 | 32 | $18,325.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $549.49 | 32 | $17,583.71 | $17,698.23 |
$-741.30 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $546.71 | 32 | $17,494.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $566.92 | 32 | $18,141.44 | $18,344.95 |
+$646.72 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $558.09 | 32 | $17,858.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $572.63 | 32 | $18,324.16 | $18,810.23 |
+$465.28 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $558.42 | 33 | $18,427.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $603.28 | 33 | $19,908.24 | $20,290.61 |
+$1,480.38 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $584.00 | 34 | $19,856.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $560.03 | 34 | $19,041.02 | $19,475.63 |
$-814.98 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $541.84 | 35 | $18,964.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:45pm ET | $519.56 | 35 | $18,184.60 | $18,696.00 |
$-779.63 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $530.23 | 35 | $18,558.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $506.96 | 35 | $17,743.60 | $17,881.55 |
$-814.45 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $505.74 | 35 | $17,700.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $484.89 | 35 | $16,971.15 | $17,151.80 |
$-729.75 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $479.74 | 35 | $16,791.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $497.28 | 35 | $17,404.80 | $17,765.53 |
+$613.73 (+3.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $490.39 | 36 | $17,654.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $488.06 | 36 | $17,570.31 | $17,681.80 |
$-83.73 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $478.56 | 36 | $17,228.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $459.03 | 36 | $16,524.96 | $16,978.60 |
$-703.20 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:50pm ET | $458.19 | 37 | $16,953.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $456.44 | 37 | $16,888.28 | $16,913.85 |
$-64.75 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $465.57 | 36 | $16,760.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $445.75 | 36 | $16,047.00 | $16,200.51 |
$-713.34 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $441.03 | 36 | $15,877.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $422.45 | 36 | $15,208.20 | $15,531.62 |
$-668.89 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.49 | 36 | $15,281.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.57 | 36 | $14,636.34 | $14,886.41 |
$-645.21 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.56 | 37 | $14,820.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $408.17 | 37 | $15,102.47 | $15,168.16 |
+$281.75 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 12:50pm ET | $402.05 | 37 | $14,875.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $434.43 | 37 | $16,074.09 | $16,366.41 |
+$1,198.25 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $406.84 | 40 | $16,273.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $388.79 | 40 | $15,551.60 | $15,644.41 |
$-722.00 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $379.99 | 41 | $15,579.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $357.72 | 41 | $14,666.52 | $14,731.24 |
$-913.17 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $352.07 | 41 | $14,434.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.35 | 41 | $13,790.35 | $14,086.72 |
$-644.52 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.89 | 40 | $14,075.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $380.12 | 40 | $15,204.80 | $15,215.92 |
+$1,129.20 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $396.70 | 38 | $15,074.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $378.34 | 38 | $14,376.92 | $14,518.24 |
$-697.68 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $380.14 | 38 | $14,445.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $364.19 | 38 | $13,839.22 | $13,912.14 |
$-606.10 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $349.96 | 39 | $13,648.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:40pm ET | $378.25 | 39 | $14,751.75 | $15,015.26 |
+$1,103.12 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,015.26
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,015.26
Total Return:
+50.15%