MA Victor Volume's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 50 trades executed
+33.53%
2 Years Return
$14,851.96
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$11,122.52
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
33
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
11.7/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
4.5/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
39.6/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 33.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,103
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
512 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$11,122.52
Current Value
$14,851.96
Total P&L
$3,729.43
Max Drawdown
-14.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
36
Winners / Losers
19 /
17
Best Trade
+12.62%
Worst Trade
-4.58%
Avg Trade Return
+0.96%
Avg Hold Time
17.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$847,391.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,729.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,729.43
Gross Return
+33.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.53%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 512 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,122.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2024 12:30pm ET | $496.88 | 22 | $10,931.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2024 12:30pm ET | $508.49 | 22 | $11,186.84 | $11,397.36 |
+$255.48 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2024 3:40pm ET | $507.93 | 22 | $11,174.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2024 2:40pm ET | $504.96 | 22 | $11,109.01 | $11,331.91 |
$-65.45 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 3:50pm ET | $520.88 | 21 | $10,938.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 27, 2024 3:50pm ET | $531.77 | 21 | $11,167.23 | $11,560.66 |
+$228.75 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2024 3:15pm ET | $531.92 | 21 | $11,170.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2024 3:15pm ET | $525.75 | 21 | $11,040.75 | $11,431.19 |
$-129.46 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2024 3:35pm ET | $536.90 | 21 | $11,274.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2025 12:55pm ET | $515.37 | 21 | $10,822.77 | $10,979.17 |
$-452.03 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 3:35pm ET | $511.91 | 21 | $10,750.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2025 3:35pm ET | $549.53 | 21 | $11,540.13 | $11,769.19 |
+$790.02 (+7.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2025 3:50pm ET | $549.00 | 21 | $11,528.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $568.21 | 21 | $11,932.41 | $12,172.70 |
+$403.52 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2025 3:50pm ET | $563.00 | 21 | $11,823.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 10:30am ET | $540.28 | 21 | $11,345.88 | $11,695.58 |
$-477.12 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $544.35 | 21 | $11,431.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 1:25pm ET | $522.49 | 21 | $10,972.29 | $11,236.53 |
$-459.06 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 2:40pm ET | $524.39 | 21 | $11,012.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 2:40pm ET | $544.42 | 21 | $11,432.82 | $11,657.26 |
+$420.73 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 3:40pm ET | $533.00 | 21 | $11,193.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 10:40am ET | $509.91 | 21 | $10,708.01 | $11,172.27 |
$-485.00 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 3:30pm ET | $486.27 | 22 | $10,697.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2025 12:00pm ET | $525.96 | 22 | $11,571.01 | $12,045.39 |
+$873.13 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2025 2:15pm ET | $532.13 | 22 | $11,706.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $575.01 | 22 | $12,650.22 | $12,988.75 |
+$943.36 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 1:20pm ET | $578.95 | 22 | $12,736.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 1:20pm ET | $579.66 | 22 | $12,752.52 | $13,004.37 |
+$15.62 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $584.56 | 22 | $12,860.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $560.70 | 22 | $12,335.40 | $12,479.45 |
$-524.92 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $569.17 | 21 | $11,952.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 1:10pm ET | $543.11 | 21 | $11,405.31 | $11,932.19 |
$-547.26 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 2:10pm ET | $533.11 | 22 | $11,728.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 2:10pm ET | $549.43 | 22 | $12,087.46 | $12,291.23 |
+$359.04 (+3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $553.94 | 22 | $12,186.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 3:45pm ET | $569.17 | 22 | $12,521.74 | $12,626.29 |
+$335.06 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 3:50pm ET | $565.74 | 22 | $12,446.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 3:50pm ET | $592.74 | 22 | $13,040.17 | $13,220.18 |
+$593.89 (+4.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 1:30pm ET | $593.04 | 22 | $13,046.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 1:30pm ET | $592.02 | 22 | $13,024.44 | $13,197.74 |
$-22.44 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 2:00pm ET | $582.24 | 22 | $12,809.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 1:45pm ET | $558.92 | 22 | $12,296.24 | $12,684.70 |
$-513.04 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:35pm ET | $559.70 | 22 | $12,313.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 2:35pm ET | $545.77 | 22 | $12,006.94 | $12,378.26 |
$-306.44 (-2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 3:45pm ET | $553.33 | 22 | $12,173.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET | $530.95 | 22 | $11,680.79 | $11,885.79 |
$-492.47 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 1:55pm ET | $526.87 | 22 | $11,591.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 1:55pm ET | $539.22 | 22 | $11,862.73 | $12,157.49 |
+$271.70 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 3:35pm ET | $563.55 | 21 | $11,834.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $567.74 | 21 | $11,922.54 | $12,245.48 |
+$87.99 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $565.82 | 21 | $11,882.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $542.63 | 21 | $11,395.23 | $11,758.54 |
$-486.94 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $545.92 | 21 | $11,464.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $523.92 | 21 | $11,002.32 | $11,296.54 |
$-462.00 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $525.93 | 21 | $11,044.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $541.99 | 21 | $11,381.79 | $11,633.91 |
+$337.36 (+3.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
18d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $512.79 | 22 | $11,281.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $491.98 | 22 | $10,823.56 | $11,176.09 |
$-457.82 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:55am ET | $495.78 | 22 | $10,907.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $507.94 | 22 | $11,174.68 | $11,443.61 |
+$267.52 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 1:40pm ET | $493.53 | 23 | $11,351.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $472.83 | 23 | $10,875.09 | $10,967.51 |
$-476.10 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $480.34 | 22 | $10,567.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $493.20 | 22 | $10,850.51 | $11,250.54 |
+$283.03 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $480.34 | 22 | $10,567.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $540.98 | 22 | $11,901.56 | $12,584.62 |
+$1,334.08 (+12.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
31.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $519.91 | 24 | $12,477.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $562.19 | 24 | $13,492.56 | $13,599.40 |
+$1,014.78 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $519.91 | 24 | $12,477.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $580.51 | 24 | $13,932.24 | $15,053.86 |
+$1,454.46 (+11.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $580.29 | 25 | $14,507.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:40pm ET | $572.22 | 25 | $14,305.38 | $14,851.96 |
$-201.90 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,851.96
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,851.96
Total Return:
+48.52%