MRK Victor Volume's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 63 trades executed
+7.86%
2 Years Return
$10,647.22
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$9,871.55
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
7.3/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
16.5/100
× Confidence 0.91
= 14.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
51,030
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,871.55
Current Value
$10,647.22
Total P&L
$775.65
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
50
Winners / Losers
23 /
27
Best Trade
+14.40%
Worst Trade
-8.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
12.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$792,682.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$775.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$775.65
Gross Return
+7.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $9,871.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2024 3:50pm ET | $117.91 | 85 | $10,022.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2024 10:05am ET | $113.09 | 85 | $9,612.64 | $9,649.69 |
$-409.71 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 27, 2024 11:25am ET | $113.84 | 84 | $9,562.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2024 11:50am ET | $109.25 | 84 | $9,177.00 | $9,264.13 |
$-385.56 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2024 1:20pm ET | $108.42 | 85 | $9,215.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 25, 2024 3:50pm ET | $103.98 | 85 | $8,837.88 | $8,886.31 |
$-377.83 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2024 3:50pm ET | $104.21 | 85 | $8,857.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET | $99.35 | 85 | $8,444.75 | $8,473.21 |
$-413.10 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 1, 2024 12:35pm ET | $102.59 | 82 | $8,412.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET | $98.24 | 82 | $8,055.68 | $8,116.51 |
$-356.70 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2024 3:50pm ET | $98.24 | 82 | $8,055.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2024 3:50pm ET | $103.68 | 82 | $8,501.76 | $8,562.59 |
+$446.08 (+5.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 6, 2024 3:50pm ET | $103.30 | 82 | $8,470.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 2:45pm ET | $99.11 | 82 | $8,127.23 | $8,219.21 |
$-343.38 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 1:15pm ET | $99.43 | 82 | $8,152.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 1:15pm ET | $99.83 | 82 | $8,185.65 | $8,252.01 |
+$32.80 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 3:50pm ET | $100.93 | 81 | $8,175.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2025 10:15am ET | $96.88 | 81 | $7,847.28 | $7,923.96 |
$-328.05 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2025 11:55am ET | $96.44 | 82 | $7,908.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.64 | 82 | $7,268.48 | $7,284.35 |
$-639.61 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2025 3:50pm ET | $89.57 | 81 | $7,254.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2025 9:35am ET | $85.96 | 81 | $6,962.76 | $6,992.35 |
$-292.01 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $86.52 | 80 | $6,921.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 14, 2025 12:30pm ET | $83.04 | 80 | $6,643.20 | $6,713.95 |
$-278.40 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2025 1:20pm ET | $82.99 | 80 | $6,639.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $90.10 | 80 | $7,208.00 | $7,282.75 |
+$568.80 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 12:30pm ET | $91.06 | 79 | $7,193.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2025 1:30pm ET | $94.49 | 79 | $7,464.32 | $7,553.53 |
+$270.78 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $94.05 | 80 | $7,524.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2025 11:50am ET | $90.28 | 80 | $7,222.40 | $7,251.93 |
$-301.60 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2025 3:50pm ET | $88.29 | 82 | $7,239.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $84.56 | 82 | $6,933.92 | $6,946.07 |
$-305.86 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 1:00pm ET | $80.64 | 86 | $6,935.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $76.77 | 86 | $6,602.22 | $6,613.25 |
$-332.82 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 3:15pm ET | $78.09 | 84 | $6,559.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2025 10:00am ET | $84.59 | 84 | $7,105.56 | $7,159.67 |
+$546.42 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 3:40pm ET | $84.59 | 84 | $7,105.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 9:45am ET | $80.98 | 84 | $6,802.32 | $6,856.43 |
$-303.24 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $79.09 | 86 | $6,801.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 3:50pm ET | $75.89 | 86 | $6,526.54 | $6,581.23 |
$-275.20 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $80.45 | 81 | $6,516.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $77.22 | 81 | $6,254.82 | $6,319.60 |
$-261.63 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 3:05pm ET | $73.92 | 85 | $6,282.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 3:05pm ET | $78.39 | 85 | $6,663.15 | $6,699.98 |
+$380.38 (+6.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 3:40pm ET | $77.83 | 86 | $6,693.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 3:40pm ET | $78.43 | 86 | $6,744.98 | $6,751.58 |
+$51.60 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 3:40pm ET | $78.61 | 85 | $6,681.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 3:40pm ET | $80.05 | 85 | $6,804.25 | $6,873.98 |
+$122.40 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $79.34 | 86 | $6,823.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $80.05 | 86 | $6,884.30 | $6,935.04 |
+$61.06 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $80.29 | 86 | $6,904.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2025 10:50am ET | $86.72 | 86 | $7,457.92 | $7,488.02 |
+$552.98 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 3:00pm ET | $87.01 | 86 | $7,482.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $83.42 | 86 | $7,174.12 | $7,179.71 |
$-308.31 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $84.14 | 85 | $7,151.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 10:30am ET | $80.74 | 85 | $6,862.48 | $6,890.28 |
$-289.43 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET | $81.86 | 84 | $6,876.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:25am ET | $78.54 | 84 | $6,597.44 | $6,611.48 |
$-278.80 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 12:30pm ET | $78.47 | 84 | $6,591.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.90 | 84 | $7,215.60 | $7,236.02 |
+$624.54 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 3:20pm ET | $89.27 | 81 | $7,230.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 9:45am ET | $85.55 | 81 | $6,929.55 | $6,934.70 |
$-301.32 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 3:50pm ET | $85.01 | 81 | $6,885.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 2:50pm ET | $83.67 | 81 | $6,777.59 | $6,826.48 |
$-108.22 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 3:15pm ET | $84.55 | 80 | $6,763.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $92.15 | 80 | $7,372.00 | $7,434.56 |
+$608.08 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $91.84 | 80 | $7,347.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 12:15pm ET | $99.23 | 80 | $7,938.00 | $8,025.36 |
+$590.80 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $100.84 | 79 | $7,966.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:25am ET | $96.71 | 79 | $7,640.09 | $7,699.09 |
$-326.27 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:55pm ET | $97.49 | 78 | $7,604.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $105.96 | 78 | $8,264.49 | $8,359.36 |
+$660.27 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:20pm ET | $106.45 | 78 | $8,303.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $109.25 | 78 | $8,521.11 | $8,577.37 |
+$218.01 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $109.53 | 78 | $8,543.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.82 | 78 | $9,268.35 | $9,302.38 |
+$725.01 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.77 | 77 | $9,299.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $117.09 | 77 | $9,015.93 | $9,019.02 |
$-283.36 (-3.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.30 | 74 | $8,976.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $116.34 | 74 | $8,609.20 | $8,652.02 |
$-367.00 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.18 | 73 | $8,554.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.06 | 73 | $8,691.02 | $8,788.90 |
+$136.88 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.21 | 74 | $8,673.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $112.33 | 74 | $8,312.42 | $8,427.78 |
$-361.12 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.56 | 74 | $8,329.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.86 | 74 | $8,943.64 | $9,042.35 |
+$614.57 (+7.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.23 | 75 | $9,017.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:20am ET | $115.27 | 75 | $8,645.25 | $8,670.35 |
$-372.00 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $115.93 | 74 | $8,579.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $120.21 | 74 | $8,895.54 | $8,986.70 |
+$316.35 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $123.87 | 72 | $8,918.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $128.48 | 72 | $9,250.56 | $9,318.62 |
+$331.92 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $123.87 | 72 | $8,918.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $128.76 | 72 | $9,270.72 | $9,670.70 |
+$352.08 (+3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
34.8d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.66 | 74 | $9,594.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.34 | 74 | $10,976.79 | $11,052.65 |
+$1,381.95 (+14.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:15pm ET | $153.04 | 72 | $11,018.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.27 | 72 | $10,531.44 | $10,565.21 |
$-487.44 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:25pm ET | $148.04 | 71 | $10,510.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $149.20 | 71 | $10,592.85 | $10,647.22 |
+$82.01 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,647.22
Net Profit/Loss:
+$647.22
Total Return:
+6.47%