Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:05:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 27.7/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 25.5

30-Day Momentum

0
+0.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.8 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,322
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
532 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,163.05
Current Value
$14,555.85
Total P&L
$4,392.82
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
57
Winners / Losers
25 / 32
Best Trade
+16.63%
Worst Trade
-9.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.85%
Avg Hold Time
8.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,489,003.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,392.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,392.82
Gross Return
+43.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+43.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 532 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,163.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2024 3:30pm ET $171.43 59 $10,114.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2024 3:30pm ET $169.90 59 $10,023.81 $10,053.28 $-90.27
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2024 3:55pm ET $164.66 61 $10,043.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2024 11:40am ET $178.14 61 $10,866.39 $10,875.71 +$822.43
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2024 2:20pm ET $181.24 60 $10,874.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2024 2:20pm ET $181.12 60 $10,867.35 $10,868.81 $-6.90
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 1, 2024 9:30am ET $181.04 60 $10,862.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 8, 2024 11:35am ET $195.75 60 $11,745.00 $11,751.41 +$882.60
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 3:30pm ET $199.11 59 $11,747.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 22, 2024 9:50am ET $190.91 59 $11,263.54 $11,267.61 $-483.80
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2024 3:35pm ET $192.98 58 $11,192.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2024 3:35pm ET $201.90 58 $11,710.20 $11,785.26 +$517.65
(+4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 10:00am ET $193.61 60 $11,616.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 27, 2024 9:40am ET $184.81 60 $11,088.60 $11,257.26 $-528.00
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2024 12:55pm ET $185.29 60 $11,117.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2025 9:35am ET $177.64 60 $10,658.40 $10,798.26 $-459.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $175.79 61 $10,723.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2025 9:50am ET $168.61 61 $10,285.21 $10,360.28 $-437.98
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 1:05pm ET $173.20 59 $10,218.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2025 11:35am ET $187.10 59 $11,038.61 $11,180.38 +$820.10
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2025 3:30pm ET $187.10 59 $11,038.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2025 3:15pm ET $202.11 59 $11,924.49 $12,065.97 +$885.59
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET $200.80 60 $12,048.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 1:55pm ET $192.56 60 $11,553.60 $11,571.57 $-494.40
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 3:45pm ET $189.96 60 $11,397.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $181.59 60 $10,895.10 $11,069.07 $-502.50
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2025 9:30am ET $182.47 60 $10,948.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 11:45am ET $174.86 60 $10,491.30 $10,612.17 $-456.90
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $173.96 61 $10,611.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2025 2:50pm ET $188.16 61 $11,477.86 $11,478.62 +$866.45
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2025 2:50pm ET $184.64 62 $11,447.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2025 11:25am ET $176.88 62 $10,966.56 $10,997.50 $-481.12
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 28, 2025 2:05pm ET $172.68 63 $10,878.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 10:20am ET $165.42 63 $10,421.46 $10,540.12 $-457.38
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $148.15 71 $10,518.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 10:10am ET $160.07 71 $11,364.97 $11,386.80 +$846.67
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:00pm ET $157.24 72 $11,320.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 2:00pm ET $170.11 72 $12,247.92 $12,313.80 +$927.00
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 3:50pm ET $168.56 73 $12,304.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 10:00am ET $161.50 73 $11,789.14 $11,798.05 $-515.75
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 11:55am ET $164.29 71 $11,664.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 10:05am ET $177.67 71 $12,614.22 $12,748.03 +$949.98
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 3:50pm ET $182.10 70 $12,747.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $193.99 70 $13,579.48 $13,580.51 +$832.48
(+6.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
23 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $194.29 69 $13,406.01 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 9:30am ET $180.69 69 $12,467.61 $12,642.11 $-938.40
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
24 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $183.34 68 $12,467.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 12:35pm ET $198.16 68 $13,474.88 $13,649.87 +$1,007.76
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 2:25pm ET $194.22 70 $13,595.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 2:25pm ET $203.95 70 $14,276.50 $14,330.98 +$681.11
(+5.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $202.34 70 $14,163.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 2:40pm ET $193.81 70 $13,566.78 $13,733.96 $-597.02
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
27 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $187.50 73 $13,687.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 1:35pm ET $202.60 73 $14,789.44 $14,835.89 +$1,101.94
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 1:50pm ET $197.28 75 $14,796.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET $178.94 75 $13,420.50 $13,460.39 $-1,375.50
(-9.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $173.62 77 $13,368.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 11:45am ET $166.42 77 $12,814.34 $12,905.99 $-554.40
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 11:55am ET $168.37 76 $12,796.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET $187.60 76 $14,257.60 $14,367.47 +$1,461.48
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:30am ET $183.63 78 $14,323.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $200.66 78 $15,651.48 $15,695.81 +$1,328.34
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 3:35pm ET $198.00 79 $15,642.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 3:35pm ET $208.82 79 $16,496.78 $16,550.59 +$854.78
(+5.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $211.40 78 $16,488.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $219.50 78 $17,121.00 $17,182.78 +$632.19
(+3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $222.62 77 $17,141.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 11:40am ET $213.48 77 $16,437.58 $16,478.62 $-704.17
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $213.36 77 $16,428.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:05pm ET $204.80 77 $15,769.60 $15,819.88 $-658.73
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $205.09 77 $15,791.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET $196.23 77 $15,109.33 $15,137.28 $-682.61
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 11:20am ET $185.60 81 $15,033.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:20am ET $188.49 81 $15,267.69 $15,371.01 +$233.73
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $187.91 81 $15,220.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $180.19 81 $14,595.35 $14,745.65 $-625.36
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
39 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $182.36 80 $14,588.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $184.44 80 $14,755.20 $14,912.05 +$166.40
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
40 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $183.70 81 $14,879.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $175.30 81 $14,199.30 $14,232.06 $-679.99
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
41 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $177.04 80 $14,163.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $169.27 80 $13,541.60 $13,610.46 $-621.60
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:20pm ET $166.73 81 $13,505.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $159.88 81 $12,950.28 $13,055.61 $-554.85
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $159.45 81 $12,915.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $167.26 81 $13,548.06 $13,688.22 +$632.61
(+4.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $169.27 80 $13,541.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $162.00 80 $12,960.00 $13,106.62 $-581.60
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $295.01 44 $12,980.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $279.96 44 $12,318.24 $12,444.64 $-661.98
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $273.93 45 $12,327.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $260.95 45 $11,742.75 $11,860.32 $-584.32
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
47 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $289.79 40 $11,591.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $316.31 40 $12,652.40 $12,921.12 +$1,060.80
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
48 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $289.79 40 $11,591.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $337.99 40 $13,519.60 $14,849.12 +$1,928.00
(+16.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $326.32 45 $14,684.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:35am ET $353.24 45 $15,895.80 $16,060.52 +$1,211.40
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
50 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $352.94 45 $15,882.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:15am ET $338.44 45 $15,229.80 $15,408.02 $-652.50
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
51 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $338.34 45 $15,225.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET $324.72 45 $14,612.22 $14,794.94 $-613.08
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
52 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $327.48 45 $14,736.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $311.00 45 $13,995.12 $14,053.46 $-741.48
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
53 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $321.23 43 $13,812.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $347.32 43 $14,934.76 $15,175.55 +$1,122.09
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3d held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $373.99 40 $14,959.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET $358.14 40 $14,325.80 $14,541.75 $-633.80
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $355.43 40 $14,217.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $340.29 40 $13,611.60 $13,936.15 $-605.60
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $380.82 36 $13,709.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET $363.11 36 $13,071.78 $13,298.45 $-637.70
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:30am ET $329.91 40 $13,196.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET $361.35 40 $14,453.80 $14,555.85 +$1,257.40
(+9.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,555.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,555.85
Total Return: +45.56%
Back to Victor Volume