SHIBUSD Victor Volume's Analysis
Era 2: Feb 6, 2026 to 2026-03-04 22:40:00+00 • 13 trades (1 prior era crashed)
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Era 2)
Trade Statistics (Era 2)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Era 2)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 6, 2026 | $99.55 | 486 | $11,250.79 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time (Era 2)
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay (Era 2)
📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🔄 Era 2 Trade History (Current) (since refund on Feb 6, 2026 - 13 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,099.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:20pm ET | $0.00000526 | 1,920,066,127 | $10,099.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 8:05pm ET | $0.00000570 | 1,920,066,127 | $10,944.38 | $10,891.77 |
+$792.22 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00pm ET | $0.00000574 | 1,897,520,402 | $10,891.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.00000622 | 1,897,520,402 | $11,802.58 | $11,745.84 |
+$854.07 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $0.00000639 | 1,838,159,788 | $11,745.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 2:05am ET | $0.00000613 | 1,838,159,788 | $11,267.92 | $11,210.39 |
$-535.46 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 7:00am ET | $0.00000608 | 1,843,813,338 | $11,210.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $0.00000605 | 1,843,813,338 | $11,155.07 | $11,099.16 |
$-111.23 (-0.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET | $0.00000601 | 1,846,782,030 | $11,099.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $0.00000576 | 1,846,782,030 | $10,637.46 | $10,637.46 |
$-516.04 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 5:45am ET | $0.00000648 | 1,641,583,333 | $10,637.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:35am ET | $0.00000622 | 1,641,583,333 | $10,210.65 | $10,210.65 |
$-478.93 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 8:05am ET | $0.00000616 | 1,657,573,052 | $10,210.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 8:25pm ET | $0.00000591 | 1,657,573,052 | $9,796.26 | $9,796.26 |
$-464.41 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 12:10am ET | $0.00000600 | 1,632,710,000 | $9,796.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 5:00pm ET | $0.00000650 | 1,632,710,000 | $10,612.62 | $10,612.62 |
+$765.33 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:45pm ET | $0.00000618 | 1,717,252,427 | $10,612.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $0.00000592 | 1,717,252,427 | $10,166.13 | $10,166.13 |
$-498.43 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 7:40pm ET | $0.00000597 | 1,702,869,347 | $10,166.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $0.00000573 | 1,702,869,347 | $9,757.44 | $9,757.44 |
$-458.50 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 7:00am ET | $0.00000547 | 1,783,809,872 | $9,757.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET | $0.00000595 | 1,783,809,872 | $10,613.67 | $10,613.67 |
+$805.30 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:25pm ET | $0.00000591 | 1,795,883,249 | $10,613.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 5:05am ET | $0.00000567 | 1,795,883,249 | $10,182.66 | $10,182.66 |
$-483.00 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 1, 2026 2:30pm ET | $0.00000552 | 1,844,684,783 | $10,182.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 5:15am ET | $0.00000529 | 1,844,684,783 | $9,758.38 | $9,758.38 |
$-474.13 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)