SPXU Victor Volume's Analysis
2024-01-02 19:40:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 61 trades executed
+25.05%
2 Years Return
$7,564.74
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$6,049.20
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
3.6/100
× Confidence 0.90
= 3.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
35,967
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
13 days with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2024-11-14 (18 candles), 2024-11-29 (no data), 2024-12-18 (37 candles), 2024-12-24 (30 candles), 2025-04-25 (14 candles), 2025-04-30 (37 candles), 2025-05-19 (34 candles), 2025-06-09 (38 candles), 2025-07-03 (24 candles), 2025-09-16 (36 candles), 2025-10-21 (28 candles), 2025-10-28 (38 candles), 2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (22 days)
2024-11-11 — Veterans Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth ... and 2 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$6,049.20
Current Value
$7,564.74
Total P&L
$1,515.56
Max Drawdown
-44.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
41
Winners / Losers
16 /
25
Best Trade
+13.41%
Worst Trade
-8.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.82%
Avg Hold Time
11.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$561,080.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,515.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,515.56
Gross Return
+25.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.05%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $6,049.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2024 11:10am ET | $98.04 | 61 | $5,980.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2024 9:40am ET | $93.28 | 61 | $5,690.08 | $5,758.82 |
$-290.36 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2024 1:50pm ET | $92.18 | 62 | $5,715.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 11:45am ET | $99.60 | 62 | $6,175.22 | $6,218.89 |
+$460.06 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 9:45am ET | $91.68 | 67 | $6,142.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2024 10:40am ET | $87.82 | 67 | $5,883.94 | $5,960.27 |
$-258.62 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 10:30am ET | $91.14 | 65 | $5,924.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2024 9:35am ET | $87.44 | 65 | $5,683.60 | $5,719.84 |
$-240.42 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2024 10:55am ET | $84.72 | 67 | $5,676.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 12:00pm ET | $92.56 | 67 | $6,201.52 | $6,245.12 |
+$525.28 (+9.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2024 10:10am ET | $83.30 | 74 | $6,163.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2024 9:30am ET | $90.76 | 74 | $6,715.94 | $6,797.19 |
+$552.07 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2025 11:00am ET | $93.02 | 73 | $6,790.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 9:50am ET | $87.86 | 73 | $6,413.63 | $6,420.43 |
$-376.77 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2025 2:00pm ET | $84.24 | 76 | $6,402.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2025 10:15am ET | $80.84 | 76 | $6,143.87 | $6,162.06 |
$-258.37 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $82.72 | 74 | $6,121.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 10:55am ET | $87.96 | 74 | $6,509.01 | $6,549.79 |
+$387.73 (+6.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 11:55am ET | $96.44 | 67 | $6,461.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 2:50pm ET | $104.78 | 67 | $7,020.26 | $7,108.27 |
+$558.49 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $102.78 | 69 | $7,091.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2025 3:10pm ET | $98.24 | 69 | $6,778.56 | $6,795.01 |
$-313.26 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $94.72 | 71 | $6,725.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 10:30am ET | $102.32 | 71 | $7,264.72 | $7,334.61 |
+$539.60 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $113.48 | 64 | $7,262.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 10:10am ET | $125.86 | 64 | $8,055.04 | $8,126.93 |
+$792.32 (+10.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $101.92 | 79 | $8,051.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 2:35pm ET | $111.78 | 79 | $8,830.62 | $8,905.87 |
+$778.94 (+9.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2025 9:50am ET | $99.90 | 89 | $8,891.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2025 3:45pm ET | $95.68 | 89 | $8,515.52 | $8,530.29 |
$-375.58 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 10:55am ET | $88.54 | 96 | $8,499.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $81.20 | 96 | $7,795.20 | $7,825.65 |
$-704.64 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 11:35am ET | $76.52 | 102 | $7,805.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 12:05pm ET | $82.84 | 102 | $8,449.68 | $8,470.29 |
+$644.64 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 11:40am ET | $78.08 | 108 | $8,432.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $74.83 | 108 | $8,081.86 | $8,119.55 |
$-350.74 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 11:10am ET | $73.28 | 110 | $8,060.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $70.28 | 110 | $7,730.80 | $7,789.55 |
$-330.00 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $67.16 | 115 | $7,723.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 3:15pm ET | $64.35 | 115 | $7,400.34 | $7,466.49 |
$-323.06 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $62.56 | 119 | $7,444.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 3:25pm ET | $60.04 | 119 | $7,144.95 | $7,166.80 |
$-299.69 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:15am ET | $60.32 | 118 | $7,117.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $57.88 | 118 | $6,829.79 | $6,878.84 |
$-287.97 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $56.54 | 121 | $6,841.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:45pm ET | $54.12 | 121 | $6,548.52 | $6,586.02 |
$-292.82 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $53.55 | 122 | $6,533.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $51.34 | 122 | $6,263.19 | $6,316.10 |
$-269.91 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $50.16 | 125 | $6,270.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $54.86 | 125 | $6,857.30 | $6,903.40 |
+$587.30 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.12 | 125 | $6,890.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.60 | 125 | $6,575.00 | $6,588.40 |
$-315.00 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $51.05 | 129 | $6,585.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:50am ET | $48.93 | 129 | $6,311.96 | $6,314.91 |
$-273.49 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 3:30pm ET | $51.12 | 123 | $6,287.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $48.25 | 123 | $5,935.06 | $5,962.21 |
$-352.70 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 1:15pm ET | $48.00 | 124 | $5,952.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $47.66 | 124 | $5,909.84 | $5,919.58 |
$-42.63 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $51.03 | 116 | $5,919.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $48.91 | 116 | $5,673.56 | $5,673.66 |
$-245.92 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $48.41 | 117 | $5,663.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $47.22 | 117 | $5,524.74 | $5,534.43 |
$-139.23 (-2.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
18.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $48.98 | 112 | $5,485.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.87 | 112 | $6,033.44 | $6,082.11 |
+$547.68 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.25 | 118 | $6,047.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.42 | 118 | $6,657.56 | $6,692.17 |
+$610.06 (+10.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $48.98 | 112 | $5,485.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.55 | 112 | $6,221.60 | $7,428.01 |
+$735.84 (+13.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
32.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 2:15pm ET | $44.51 | 166 | $7,388.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $42.72 | 166 | $7,090.69 | $7,130.60 |
$-297.41 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $41.47 | 171 | $7,091.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $39.81 | 171 | $6,807.51 | $6,846.74 |
$-283.86 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $36.46 | 187 | $6,817.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $39.62 | 187 | $7,408.94 | $7,438.59 |
+$591.85 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 11:25am ET | $37.75 | 197 | $7,436.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $36.21 | 197 | $7,133.37 | $7,135.21 |
$-303.38 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $36.67 | 194 | $7,113.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $39.61 | 194 | $7,684.34 | $7,705.57 |
+$570.36 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $33.88 | 227 | $7,689.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 2:40pm ET | $34.31 | 227 | $7,789.50 | $7,805.45 |
+$99.88 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $34.66 | 225 | $7,798.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $33.59 | 225 | $7,557.79 | $7,564.74 |
$-240.71 (-3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,564.74
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,435.26
Total Return:
-24.35%