TMO Victor Volume's Analysis
2024-01-02 20:50:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 63 trades executed
-31.92%
2 Years Return
$7,492.61
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$11,004.78
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality
4.4/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 3.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
40,833
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
506 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$11,004.78
Current Value
$7,492.61
Total P&L
$-3,512.19
Max Drawdown
-48.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
50
Winners / Losers
16 /
34
Best Trade
+11.51%
Worst Trade
-10.68%
Avg Trade Return
-0.66%
Avg Hold Time
12.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$742,544.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,512.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,512.19
Gross Return
-31.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-31.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 506 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,004.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2024 3:50pm ET | $623.32 | 18 | $11,219.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2024 1:20pm ET | $597.87 | 18 | $10,761.57 | $10,811.19 |
$-458.10 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2024 3:00pm ET | $617.49 | 17 | $10,497.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2024 1:00pm ET | $591.93 | 17 | $10,062.81 | $10,376.68 |
$-434.51 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 11, 2024 2:40pm ET | $596.47 | 17 | $10,139.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2024 9:50am ET | $571.24 | 17 | $9,711.08 | $9,947.77 |
$-428.91 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 25, 2024 1:50pm ET | $554.90 | 17 | $9,433.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2024 3:45pm ET | $532.25 | 17 | $9,048.25 | $9,562.81 |
$-384.97 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 12:00pm ET | $501.74 | 19 | $9,532.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 12:00pm ET | $535.36 | 19 | $10,171.84 | $10,201.68 |
+$638.88 (+6.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 2:30pm ET | $540.14 | 18 | $9,722.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 13, 2024 9:55am ET | $518.40 | 18 | $9,331.20 | $9,810.36 |
$-391.32 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2024 10:05am ET | $534.09 | 18 | $9,613.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 9:40am ET | $512.36 | 18 | $9,222.48 | $9,419.31 |
$-391.05 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 20, 2024 1:40pm ET | $524.53 | 17 | $8,917.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 1:40pm ET | $546.16 | 17 | $9,284.72 | $9,787.02 |
+$367.71 (+4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 3:40pm ET | $556.48 | 17 | $9,460.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $603.32 | 17 | $10,256.44 | $10,583.30 |
+$796.28 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2025 1:20pm ET | $601.99 | 17 | $10,233.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2025 3:05pm ET | $577.55 | 17 | $9,818.35 | $10,167.82 |
$-415.48 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $582.14 | 17 | $9,896.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $555.00 | 17 | $9,435.00 | $9,706.44 |
$-461.38 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $551.45 | 17 | $9,374.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $525.43 | 17 | $8,932.31 | $9,264.15 |
$-442.29 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2025 3:25pm ET | $529.78 | 17 | $9,006.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $512.42 | 17 | $8,711.06 | $8,968.95 |
$-295.21 (-3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $515.10 | 17 | $8,756.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $492.45 | 17 | $8,371.65 | $8,583.90 |
$-385.05 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2025 12:00pm ET | $492.03 | 17 | $8,364.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 2:05pm ET | $472.13 | 17 | $8,026.13 | $8,245.60 |
$-338.30 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 3:20pm ET | $442.70 | 18 | $7,968.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $422.63 | 18 | $7,607.25 | $7,884.25 |
$-361.35 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 10:50am ET | $444.47 | 17 | $7,555.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 2:40pm ET | $426.35 | 17 | $7,247.95 | $7,576.30 |
$-307.95 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 3:50pm ET | $453.25 | 16 | $7,251.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 10:05am ET | $433.91 | 16 | $6,942.56 | $7,266.94 |
$-309.36 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 2:35pm ET | $437.48 | 16 | $6,999.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 11:05am ET | $419.45 | 16 | $6,711.20 | $6,978.54 |
$-288.40 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 12:00pm ET | $435.64 | 16 | $6,970.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $418.14 | 16 | $6,690.24 | $6,698.54 |
$-280.00 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 3:50pm ET | $420.87 | 15 | $6,312.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 3:45pm ET | $403.72 | 15 | $6,055.80 | $6,441.36 |
$-257.18 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 3:45pm ET | $430.92 | 14 | $6,032.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 11:00am ET | $412.98 | 14 | $5,781.65 | $6,190.13 |
$-251.23 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 12:40pm ET | $403.11 | 15 | $6,046.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 12:40pm ET | $402.08 | 15 | $6,031.13 | $6,174.61 |
$-15.53 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2025 2:30pm ET | $401.76 | 15 | $6,026.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 2:30pm ET | $410.11 | 15 | $6,151.65 | $6,299.86 |
+$125.25 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 3:50pm ET | $406.86 | 15 | $6,102.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 3:50pm ET | $406.24 | 15 | $6,093.53 | $6,290.48 |
$-9.38 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $474.81 | 13 | $6,172.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 10:10am ET | $455.47 | 13 | $5,921.05 | $6,039.00 |
$-251.49 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 3:45pm ET | $467.27 | 12 | $5,607.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 1:45pm ET | $448.56 | 12 | $5,382.72 | $5,814.48 |
$-224.52 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 3:30pm ET | $454.30 | 12 | $5,451.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 1:35pm ET | $490.72 | 12 | $5,888.64 | $6,251.58 |
+$437.10 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 2:15pm ET | $490.63 | 12 | $5,887.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 2:15pm ET | $484.14 | 12 | $5,809.68 | $6,173.76 |
$-77.82 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 3:50pm ET | $484.03 | 12 | $5,808.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $463.86 | 12 | $5,566.26 | $5,931.72 |
$-242.04 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 3:30pm ET | $459.09 | 12 | $5,509.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $500.78 | 12 | $6,009.30 | $6,431.94 |
+$500.22 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 1:45pm ET | $526.60 | 12 | $6,319.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 12:50pm ET | $568.99 | 12 | $6,827.82 | $6,940.62 |
+$508.68 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 3:25pm ET | $570.23 | 12 | $6,842.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 2:25pm ET | $590.39 | 12 | $7,084.68 | $7,182.60 |
+$241.98 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:30pm ET | $580.94 | 12 | $6,971.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:30pm ET | $571.88 | 12 | $6,862.51 | $7,073.82 |
$-108.77 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $568.38 | 12 | $6,820.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $585.13 | 12 | $7,021.56 | $7,274.82 |
+$201.00 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $583.63 | 12 | $7,003.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $618.88 | 12 | $7,426.56 | $7,697.82 |
+$423.00 (+6.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:15pm ET | $637.40 | 12 | $7,648.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:30pm ET | $611.67 | 12 | $7,340.04 | $7,389.06 |
$-308.76 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 1:25pm ET | $588.28 | 12 | $7,059.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $564.46 | 12 | $6,773.46 | $7,103.16 |
$-285.90 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $542.34 | 13 | $7,050.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $546.19 | 13 | $7,100.47 | $7,153.21 |
+$50.05 (+0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $517.34 | 13 | $6,725.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $495.55 | 13 | $6,442.15 | $6,869.94 |
$-283.27 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $505.67 | 13 | $6,573.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $484.69 | 13 | $6,300.97 | $6,597.20 |
$-272.74 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:50pm ET | $469.81 | 14 | $6,577.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $491.25 | 14 | $6,877.50 | $6,897.36 |
+$300.16 (+4.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $526.91 | 13 | $6,849.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.67 | 13 | $6,118.65 | $6,166.11 |
$-731.25 (-10.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:05pm ET | $479.78 | 12 | $5,757.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $460.36 | 12 | $5,524.32 | $5,933.07 |
$-233.04 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $507.89 | 11 | $5,586.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $540.21 | 11 | $5,942.31 | $6,288.59 |
+$355.52 (+6.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $526.70 | 11 | $5,793.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $582.04 | 11 | $6,402.49 | $6,897.38 |
+$608.79 (+10.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $507.89 | 11 | $5,586.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $566.34 | 11 | $6,229.69 | $7,540.28 |
+$642.90 (+11.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
34.7d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $586.35 | 12 | $7,036.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $634.07 | 12 | $7,608.78 | $8,112.80 |
+$572.52 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $628.53 | 12 | $7,542.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 12:00pm ET | $603.21 | 12 | $7,238.49 | $7,808.87 |
$-303.93 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $628.53 | 12 | $7,542.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $602.18 | 12 | $7,226.16 | $7,492.61 |
$-316.26 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,492.61
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,507.39
Total Return:
-25.07%