XLF Victor Volume's Analysis
2024-01-02 20:50:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 42 trades executed
+27.99%
2 Years Return
$14,419.28
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,265.90
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
17.5/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
49.1/100
× Confidence 0.82
= 40.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
62,990
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$11,265.90
Current Value
$14,419.28
Total P&L
$3,153.41
Max Drawdown
-8.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
30
Winners / Losers
15 /
15
Best Trade
+8.12%
Worst Trade
-4.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.90%
Avg Hold Time
18.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$752,080.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,153.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,153.41
Gross Return
+27.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.99%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $11,265.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2024 3:55pm ET | $45.70 | 247 | $11,287.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2024 3:55pm ET | $45.62 | 247 | $11,266.91 | $11,286.87 |
$-21.00 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2024 10:55am ET | $46.69 | 241 | $11,252.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2024 9:55am ET | $46.33 | 241 | $11,165.53 | $11,200.11 |
$-86.76 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2024 10:20am ET | $46.60 | 240 | $11,184.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2024 1:00pm ET | $50.36 | 240 | $12,085.20 | $12,101.31 |
+$901.20 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 22, 2024 3:35pm ET | $50.68 | 238 | $12,061.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 13, 2024 3:35pm ET | $49.48 | 238 | $11,775.05 | $11,814.52 |
$-286.79 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2024 3:55pm ET | $49.47 | 238 | $11,773.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $48.43 | 238 | $11,526.34 | $11,567.00 |
$-247.52 (-2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $48.35 | 239 | $11,555.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $51.30 | 239 | $12,260.70 | $12,272.05 |
+$705.05 (+6.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2025 9:50am ET | $51.77 | 237 | $12,269.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $51.88 | 237 | $12,294.38 | $12,296.94 |
+$24.88 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $50.93 | 241 | $12,272.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $48.86 | 241 | $11,775.26 | $11,799.27 |
$-497.66 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 2:10pm ET | $47.82 | 246 | $11,763.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 2:10pm ET | $49.64 | 246 | $12,211.46 | $12,247.02 |
+$447.74 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2025 3:50pm ET | $49.76 | 246 | $12,240.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 3:30pm ET | $47.76 | 246 | $11,748.96 | $11,755.02 |
$-492.00 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 3:40pm ET | $44.70 | 263 | $11,754.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.63 | 263 | $11,211.69 | $11,211.92 |
$-543.09 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 1:35pm ET | $44.60 | 251 | $11,194.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $48.22 | 251 | $12,103.22 | $12,120.54 |
+$908.62 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2025 12:25pm ET | $48.16 | 251 | $12,086.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 12:25pm ET | $51.03 | 251 | $12,808.53 | $12,842.17 |
+$721.63 (+6.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 2:00pm ET | $51.59 | 248 | $12,794.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 2:00pm ET | $51.24 | 248 | $12,707.52 | $12,755.37 |
$-86.80 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 3:35pm ET | $51.10 | 249 | $12,723.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 3:35pm ET | $52.23 | 249 | $13,004.03 | $13,035.49 |
+$280.13 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 3:45pm ET | $52.74 | 247 | $13,025.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 3:45pm ET | $52.73 | 247 | $13,024.31 | $13,034.26 |
$-1.24 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 3:50pm ET | $53.07 | 245 | $13,000.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 3:50pm ET | $52.77 | 245 | $12,927.52 | $12,960.85 |
$-73.40 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 3:50pm ET | $53.01 | 244 | $12,933.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $54.06 | 244 | $13,189.42 | $13,217.05 |
+$256.20 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $53.09 | 248 | $13,166.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $53.85 | 248 | $13,354.80 | $13,405.53 |
+$188.48 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $54.12 | 247 | $13,367.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 2:05pm ET | $51.92 | 247 | $12,824.24 | $12,862.13 |
$-543.40 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 3:20pm ET | $52.33 | 245 | $12,821.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 2:20pm ET | $52.52 | 245 | $12,866.18 | $12,907.14 |
+$45.01 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 3:00pm ET | $53.09 | 243 | $12,899.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 3:00pm ET | $53.00 | 243 | $12,879.00 | $12,886.49 |
$-20.66 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 2:35pm ET | $53.52 | 240 | $12,844.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.72 | 240 | $13,372.80 | $13,414.49 |
+$528.00 (+4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.62 | 241 | $13,403.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.73 | 241 | $12,947.73 | $12,959.00 |
$-455.49 (-3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $53.62 | 241 | $12,922.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $53.70 | 241 | $12,941.70 | $12,978.30 |
+$19.30 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
19.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.41 | 247 | $12,945.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $50.20 | 247 | $12,399.40 | $12,432.43 |
$-545.87 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $51.44 | 241 | $12,395.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $53.92 | 241 | $12,993.52 | $13,030.11 |
+$597.68 (+4.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $53.49 | 243 | $12,999.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $56.70 | 243 | $13,778.10 | $13,808.93 |
+$778.82 (+6.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $53.49 | 243 | $12,999.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.58 | 243 | $13,748.94 | $14,558.59 |
+$749.66 (+5.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
34.7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.94 | 251 | $14,542.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.38 | 251 | $14,403.63 | $14,419.28 |
$-139.31 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,419.28
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,419.28
Total Return:
+44.19%