Compendium › Victor Yield Hawk › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Yield Hawk's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+21.74%
Last Month Return
$56,940.31
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$46,770.43
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score PRO Scored Sep 24, 2026

71
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
22.2/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
9.2/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 77.2/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 71.2

30-Day Momentum

58
+21.7%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
3.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.1 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$46,770.43
Current Value
$56,940.31
Period P&L
$10,169.89
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.96

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+8.46%
Worst Trade
-4.17%
Avg Trade Return
+5.20%
Avg Hold Time
13h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$418,703.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,169.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,169.89
Gross Return
+21.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $46,770.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $147.42 317 $46,730.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $159.34 317 $50,510.78 $50,550.52 +$3,780.10
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $136.68 369 $50,436.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:40am ET $148.16 369 $54,671.04 $54,784.80 +$4,234.28
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $150.29 364 $54,705.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:35am ET $144.03 364 $52,426.92 $52,506.16 $-2,278.64
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $169.56 309 $52,394.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET $183.91 309 $56,828.19 $56,940.31 +$4,434.15
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $56,940.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$46,940.31
Total Return: +469.40%
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