Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:34:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 11.8/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 8.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,156
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,760.92
Current Value
$9,814.59
Period P&L
$-946.33
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.69

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+0.90%
Worst Trade
-5.42%
Avg Trade Return
-1.74%
Avg Hold Time
23.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$103,147.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-946.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-946.33
Gross Return
-8.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $10,760.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $85.61 125 $10,701.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $86.39 125 $10,798.13 $10,857.17 +$96.25
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:30am ET $87.50 124 $10,849.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $83.97 124 $10,412.75 $10,420.54 $-436.63
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:30am ET $87.50 124 $10,849.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $82.75 124 $10,261.00 $9,832.16 $-588.38
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
34.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $82.82 118 $9,772.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $83.20 118 $9,817.60 $9,877.59 +$45.43
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $82.29 120 $9,874.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:40pm ET $81.76 120 $9,811.20 $9,814.59 $-63.00
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,814.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-185.41
Total Return: -1.85%
Back to Victor Yield Hawk