Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score PRO Scored Sep 24, 2026

71
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
22.2/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
9.2/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 77.2/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 71.2

30-Day Momentum

58
+21.7%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
3.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.1 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,086
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$25,339.91
Current Value
$56,940.31
Period P&L
$31,600.41
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
10 / 11
Best Trade
+84.95%
Worst Trade
-8.60%
Avg Trade Return
+5.19%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,383,465.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$31,600.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$31,600.41
Gross Return
+124.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+124.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $25,339.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $47.97 528 $25,328.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $45.99 528 $24,282.72 $24,294.46 $-1,045.44
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:10am ET $47.44 512 $24,286.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET $45.06 512 $23,070.72 $23,078.46 $-1,216.00
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $45.12 511 $23,056.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $49.08 511 $25,082.43 $25,104.58 +$2,026.12
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.60 486 $25,077.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $49.51 486 $24,064.29 $24,091.27 $-1,013.31
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $52.66 457 $24,065.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $57.17 457 $26,126.69 $26,152.34 +$2,061.07
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $59.95 436 $26,138.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET $65.58 436 $28,592.88 $28,607.02 +$2,454.68
(+9.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $71.51 400 $28,606.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $77.69 400 $31,076.00 $31,077.02 +$2,470.00
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $81.46 381 $31,036.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET $77.99 381 $29,714.19 $29,754.95 $-1,322.07
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $76.62 388 $29,728.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $73.45 388 $28,497.63 $28,524.02 $-1,230.93
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $67.60 421 $28,459.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET $64.42 421 $27,120.82 $27,185.24 $-1,338.78
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $61.65 440 $27,123.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:50am ET $58.84 440 $25,889.64 $25,951.08 $-1,234.16
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $57.87 448 $25,923.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $55.31 448 $24,778.88 $24,806.44 $-1,144.64
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:55am ET $56.98 435 $24,786.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $54.47 435 $23,696.62 $23,716.77 $-1,089.68
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $54.85 432 $23,695.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:10am ET $59.27 432 $25,604.64 $25,626.21 +$1,909.44
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $58.32 439 $25,604.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 11:40am ET $63.00 439 $27,657.00 $27,679.02 +$2,052.81
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 12:10pm ET $63.85 433 $27,649.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $118.10 433 $51,137.04 $51,166.85 +$23,487.83
(+84.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:15pm ET $146.00 350 $51,100.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $133.44 350 $46,704.00 $46,770.43 $-4,396.42
(-8.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $147.42 317 $46,730.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:35pm ET $159.34 317 $50,510.78 $50,550.52 +$3,780.10
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $136.68 369 $50,436.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:40am ET $148.16 369 $54,671.04 $54,784.80 +$4,234.28
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $150.29 364 $54,705.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:35am ET $144.03 364 $52,426.92 $52,506.16 $-2,278.64
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $169.56 309 $52,394.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET $183.91 309 $56,828.19 $56,940.31 +$4,434.15
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $56,940.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$46,940.31
Total Return: +469.40%
Back to Victor Yield Hawk