Compendium › Victor Yield Hawk › AAPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AAPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Yield Hawk's Analysis

2024-01-02 09:00:00+00 to 2026-06-15 19:55:00+00 • 18 trades executed

+32.36%
2 Years Return
$16,651.50
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,580.56
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-15 22:14:41

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.48%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.40%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 15, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 71.8/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 53.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,486
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-17 → 2026-06-15
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$12,580.56
Current Value
$16,651.50
Total P&L
$4,070.94
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
7 / 7
Best Trade
+10.91%
Worst Trade
-5.25%
Avg Trade Return
+2.22%
Avg Hold Time
12.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$422,763.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,070.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,070.94
Gross Return
+32.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $12,580.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET $213.34 58 $12,373.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2024 9:40am ET $230.86 58 $13,389.59 $13,596.44 +$1,015.87
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $225.19 60 $13,511.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET $234.71 60 $14,082.36 $14,167.40 +$570.96
(+4.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET $248.46 57 $14,162.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 9:30am ET $242.50 57 $13,822.50 $13,827.68 $-339.72
(-2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET $245.96 56 $13,773.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 10:50am ET $236.08 56 $13,220.33 $13,274.25 $-553.43
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 3:15pm ET $233.89 56 $13,097.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET $222.32 56 $12,449.92 $12,626.61 $-647.64
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET $222.59 56 $12,465.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2025 9:30am ET $245.29 56 $13,735.96 $13,897.53 +$1,270.92
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $230.07 60 $13,804.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 12:45pm ET $248.52 60 $14,910.90 $15,004.07 +$1,106.54
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 11:50am ET $188.11 79 $14,860.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET $208.63 79 $16,481.79 $16,625.16 +$1,621.10
(+10.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $193.49 85 $16,446.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 1:20pm ET $209.09 85 $17,772.76 $17,951.27 +$1,326.11
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
10 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:40am ET $207.39 86 $17,835.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $196.50 86 $16,899.00 $17,014.73 $-936.55
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
11 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $200.19 84 $16,815.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $195.64 84 $16,433.76 $16,632.53 $-382.20
(-2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $214.41 77 $16,509.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $214.10 77 $16,485.70 $16,609.03 $-23.49
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $292.42 56 $16,375.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $305.74 56 $17,121.44 $17,355.23 +$746.20
(+4.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $314.82 55 $17,315.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $302.02 55 $16,611.37 $16,651.50 $-703.73
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,651.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,651.50
Total Return: +66.52%
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