Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:48:49

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.1/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
6.7/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 58.7/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 44.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,400
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
523 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,090.40
Current Value
$13,446.73
Total P&L
$2,356.33
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
8 / 8
Best Trade
+8.35%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.32%
Avg Hold Time
19.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$402,110.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,356.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,356.33
Gross Return
+21.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 523 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Yield Hawk had $11,090.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 3:55pm ET $161.04 68 $10,950.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 22, 2024 9:30am ET $174.48 68 $11,864.64 $12,004.32 +$913.92
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET $170.82 70 $11,957.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 9:30am ET $165.96 70 $11,617.21 $11,664.12 $-340.19
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 1:25pm ET $161.22 72 $11,607.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 1:25pm ET $168.80 72 $12,153.60 $12,209.88 +$545.75
(+4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 2:20pm ET $166.52 73 $12,155.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2025 2:20pm ET $165.52 73 $12,082.96 $12,136.95 $-72.93
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $166.51 72 $11,988.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 10:20am ET $179.91 72 $12,953.52 $13,101.75 +$964.80
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $163.26 80 $13,060.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $159.95 80 $12,795.60 $12,836.95 $-264.80
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 3:45pm ET $160.64 79 $12,690.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 3:45pm ET $167.39 79 $13,223.81 $13,370.40 +$533.45
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $162.78 82 $13,347.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $158.67 82 $13,010.94 $13,033.38 $-337.02
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $160.50 81 $13,000.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:20am ET $153.95 81 $12,469.95 $12,502.83 $-530.55
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 3:05pm ET $152.89 81 $12,384.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 3:05pm ET $150.97 81 $12,228.57 $12,347.31 $-155.52
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $143.93 85 $12,234.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $142.60 85 $12,121.00 $12,234.26 $-113.05
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $142.85 85 $12,142.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $150.53 85 $12,795.05 $12,887.06 +$652.80
(+5.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $142.85 85 $12,142.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $150.95 85 $12,830.33 $13,575.14 +$688.08
(+5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
31d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $147.38 92 $13,558.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:45pm ET $144.62 92 $13,305.04 $13,321.22 $-253.92
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $144.71 92 $13,312.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $145.55 92 $13,390.60 $13,398.96 +$77.74
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $146.63 91 $13,342.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $147.15 91 $13,390.65 $13,446.73 +$47.77
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,446.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,446.73
Total Return: +34.47%
Back to Victor Yield Hawk