Compendium › Wally Whale › PEPEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEPEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 7 trades in period

-11.22%
Last Month Return
$16,897.82
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$15,594.01
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.2 neutral
20d Trend
-19.0%
5d Trend
-17.2%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.6%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 26.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

4
-6.2%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,249
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
33 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,594.01
Current Value
$16,897.82
Period P&L
$-1,750.33
Max Drawdown
-60.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+3.77%
Worst Trade
-3.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.87%
Avg Hold Time
9.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$252,714.16
Estimated Fees
$631.79
Gross P&L
$-1,750.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,382.12
Gross Return
-11.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.28%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 33 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $15,594.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:30pm ET $0.00000345 5,222,136,232 $18,016.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 7:30am ET $0.00000358 5,222,136,232 $18,695.25 $18,695.25 +$587.10
(+3.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 8:00am ET $0.00000360 5,193,124,364 $18,695.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 8:00pm ET $0.00000356 5,193,124,364 $18,487.52 $18,487.52 $-300.68
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $0.00000498 3,712,353,414 $18,487.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $0.00000482 3,712,353,414 $17,893.54 $17,893.54 $-684.93
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $0.00000484 3,697,013,110 $17,893.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 12:30am ET $0.00000502 3,697,013,110 $18,559.01 $18,559.01 +$574.33
(+3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:30am ET $0.00000502 3,697,013,110 $18,559.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 6:05am ET $0.00000485 3,697,013,110 $17,930.51 $17,930.51 $-719.72
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET $0.00000451 3,975,722,838 $17,930.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $0.00000436 3,975,722,838 $17,334.15 $17,334.15 $-684.52
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 5:20pm ET $0.00000437 3,966,625,074 $17,334.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 5:20am ET $0.00000426 3,966,625,074 $16,897.82 $16,897.82 $-521.91
(-2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,897.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,897.82
Total Return: +68.98%
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