Compendium › Wally Whale › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 8 trades in period

+0.94%
Last Month Return
$15,675.36
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$13,801.86
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:20:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 35.3/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 31.3

30-Day Momentum

18
+2.4%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.5 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,029
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,801.86
Current Value
$15,675.36
Period P&L
$129.34
Max Drawdown
-31.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+5.06%
Worst Trade
-3.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.65%
Avg Hold Time
10.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$248,773.34
Estimated Fees
$621.93
Gross P&L
$129.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-492.59
Gross Return
+0.94%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.57%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $13,801.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:30pm ET $1.36 10,942 $14,924.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 7:30am ET $1.38 10,942 $15,065.79 $15,065.79 +$66.73
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 8:40am ET $1.36 11,056 $15,065.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 8:40pm ET $1.38 11,056 $15,305.27 $15,305.27 +$163.55
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $1.51 10,124 $15,305.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $1.59 10,124 $16,078.96 $16,078.96 +$695.23
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:20am ET $1.56 10,315 $16,078.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:20pm ET $1.59 10,315 $16,376.46 $16,376.46 +$216.36
(+1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:15pm ET $1.60 10,245 $16,376.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $1.54 10,245 $15,725.42 $15,725.42 $-731.29
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET $1.53 10,279 $15,725.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 4:25pm ET $1.48 10,279 $15,249.07 $15,249.07 $-553.79
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 4:25pm ET $1.48 10,279 $15,249.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 4:25am ET $1.49 10,279 $15,285.97 $15,285.97 $-39.43
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 4:25am ET $1.49 10,279 $15,285.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 4:25pm ET $1.52 10,279 $15,675.36 $15,675.36 +$311.98
(+2.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,675.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,675.36
Total Return: +56.75%
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