Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:13:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 8.9/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 7.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,153
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,375.68
Current Value
$9,727.50
Period P&L
$1,088.14
Max Drawdown
-31.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+6.92%
Worst Trade
-8.22%
Avg Trade Return
+1.41%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$256,193.70
Estimated Fees
$640.48
Gross P&L
$1,088.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$447.66
Gross Return
+12.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.34%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $8,375.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $3.44 2,435 $8,375.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $3.25 2,435 $7,920.37 $7,879.63 $-496.05
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $3.25 2,422 $7,879.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $3.48 2,422 $8,424.64 $8,383.88 +$504.25
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 8:20pm ET $2.93 2,862 $8,383.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:25pm ET $3.11 2,862 $8,890.23 $8,847.05 +$463.17
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2025 7:05am ET $3.25 2,726 $8,847.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 8:45am ET $3.14 2,726 $8,566.23 $8,522.70 $-324.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2025 3:10pm ET $3.08 2,764 $8,522.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 4:25pm ET $2.98 2,764 $8,227.00 $8,185.13 $-337.57
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET $2.36 3,474 $8,185.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:30pm ET $2.39 3,474 $8,303.25 $8,262.03 +$76.90
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $1.46 5,650 $8,262.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET $1.55 5,650 $8,769.44 $8,726.86 +$464.83
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $1.25 6,965 $8,726.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $1.15 6,965 $8,009.49 $7,967.65 $-759.21
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $1.15 6,928 $7,967.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $1.22 6,928 $8,466.49 $8,425.41 +$457.76
(+6.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 7:40pm ET $1.62 5,213 $8,425.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 7:40am ET $1.61 5,213 $8,397.26 $8,397.26 $-70.21
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.53 5,494 $8,397.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 6:00am ET $1.54 5,494 $8,473.63 $8,473.63 +$34.19
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 8:05am ET $1.53 5,551 $8,473.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 8:05pm ET $1.53 5,551 $8,478.07 $8,478.07 $-37.94
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:35pm ET $0.9015 9,404 $8,478.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 7:00pm ET $0.9481 9,404 $8,916.32 $8,916.32 +$394.76
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 7:00pm ET $0.9481 9,404 $8,916.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:30pm ET $0.9986 9,404 $9,391.24 $9,391.24 +$429.15
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $1.10 8,556 $9,391.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:00am ET $1.14 8,556 $9,727.50 $9,727.50 +$288.46
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,727.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-272.50
Total Return: -2.73%
Back to Wally Whale