Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:48

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 7.2/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,158
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,063.30
Current Value
$7,467.69
Period P&L
$-768.08
Max Drawdown
-49.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+14.17%
Worst Trade
-28.77%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
6.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$160,866.29
Estimated Fees
$402.17
Gross P&L
$-768.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,170.25
Gross Return
-9.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.51%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $8,063.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $114.21 71 $8,063.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $81.35 71 $5,743.36 $5,708.85 $-2,354.45
(-28.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $81.35 70 $5,708.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $92.88 70 $6,517.98 $6,487.42 +$778.57
(+14.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 8:20pm ET $96.35 67 $6,487.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:35pm ET $101.46 67 $6,831.49 $6,798.19 +$310.77
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2025 7:50am ET $98.05 69 $6,798.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 3:30pm ET $94.53 69 $6,554.13 $6,520.75 $-277.44
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2025 3:30pm ET $94.53 69 $6,520.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 5:00pm ET $91.42 69 $6,306.22 $6,274.15 $-246.60
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 11, 2025 5:05pm ET $90.28 69 $6,274.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 12, 2025 2:00am ET $94.85 69 $6,591.68 $6,559.52 +$285.37
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $47.06 139 $6,559.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $49.65 139 $6,920.53 $6,886.83 +$327.31
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 7:35pm ET $56.45 122 $6,886.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 7:35am ET $56.05 122 $6,838.03 $6,838.03 $-83.11
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 7:20pm ET $56.79 120 $6,838.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 7:20am ET $55.97 120 $6,739.29 $6,739.29 $-132.68
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 7:35am ET $55.76 121 $6,739.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $55.45 121 $6,701.83 $6,701.83 $-71.07
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:00pm ET $52.44 128 $6,701.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 12:50am ET $55.07 128 $7,037.94 $7,037.94 +$301.76
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:20am ET $60.43 116 $7,037.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:35pm ET $64.12 116 $7,467.69 $7,467.69 +$393.49
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,467.69
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,532.31
Total Return: -25.32%
Back to Wally Whale