Compendium › Wally Whale › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 5 trades in period

-9.74%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,851.96
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$13,066.19
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:14:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 23.3/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 15.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,806
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,066.19
Current Value
$11,851.96
Period P&L
$-1,273.08
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.42

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+5.82%
Worst Trade
-7.02%
Avg Trade Return
-1.77%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$125,306.14
Estimated Fees
$313.27
Gross P&L
$-1,273.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,586.34
Gross Return
-9.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.14%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $13,066.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $0.0886 149,209 $13,216.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.0824 149,209 $12,288.81 $12,225.05 $-991.84
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.0824 148,434 $12,225.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.0872 148,434 $12,936.05 $12,873.15 +$648.10
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:15am ET $0.0934 137,769 $12,873.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $0.0923 137,769 $12,719.40 $12,655.42 $-217.73
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $0.1017 124,453 $12,655.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 6:05am ET $0.0986 124,453 $12,269.70 $12,269.70 $-448.03
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 7:45am ET $0.0994 123,427 $12,269.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $0.0960 123,427 $11,851.96 $11,851.96 $-478.04
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,851.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,851.96
Total Return: +18.52%
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