Compendium › Wally Whale › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 7 trades in period

-7.74%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,346.87
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$11,729.35
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 10:03:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 20.6/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 17.3

30-Day Momentum

5
-4.3%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,665
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,729.35
Current Value
$11,346.87
Period P&L
$-908.10
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+3.31%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.59%
Avg Hold Time
10.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$161,207.47
Estimated Fees
$403.02
Gross P&L
$-908.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,311.12
Gross Return
-7.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.18%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $11,729.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $0.0944 125,609 $11,851.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 7:25pm ET $0.0914 125,609 $11,475.42 $11,475.42 $-434.86
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 7:25pm ET $0.0914 125,609 $11,475.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 7:25am ET $0.0944 125,609 $11,855.24 $11,855.24 +$321.49
(+3.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 8:20am ET $0.0939 126,278 $11,855.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 4:50pm ET $0.0909 126,278 $11,481.58 $11,481.58 $-432.00
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET $0.0883 129,972 $11,481.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $0.0893 129,972 $11,602.52 $11,602.52 +$63.23
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $0.0894 129,717 $11,602.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:05pm ET $0.0875 129,717 $11,350.58 $11,350.58 $-309.32
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $0.0824 137,762 $11,350.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $0.0816 137,762 $11,238.98 $11,238.98 $-168.07
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $0.0795 141,407 $11,238.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 3:00am ET $0.0802 141,407 $11,346.87 $11,346.87 +$51.43
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,346.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,346.87
Total Return: +13.47%
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