Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:42:49

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 6.1/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

14
+2.7%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.3 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,817
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,552.44
Current Value
$9,984.43
Period P&L
$316.68
Max Drawdown
-30.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+5.57%
Worst Trade
-3.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
10.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$284,862.89
Estimated Fees
$712.16
Gross P&L
$316.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-395.48
Gross Return
+3.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.62%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $8,552.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $7.01 1,278 $8,955.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55pm ET $7.16 1,278 $9,146.86 $9,146.86 +$146.00
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:10pm ET $7.04 1,300 $9,146.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:10am ET $7.22 1,300 $9,390.29 $9,390.29 +$197.09
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:35am ET $7.92 1,186 $9,390.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:35pm ET $8.00 1,186 $9,488.10 $9,488.10 +$50.61
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:45pm ET $7.99 1,188 $9,488.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2026 11:45am ET $8.03 1,188 $9,542.94 $9,542.94 +$7.27
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $11.59 824 $9,542.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 6:00pm ET $12.23 824 $10,074.01 $10,074.01 +$482.03
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 6:30pm ET $12.15 829 $10,074.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $11.72 829 $9,714.64 $9,714.64 $-408.84
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $11.72 829 $9,714.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 6:20am ET $11.37 829 $9,421.77 $9,421.77 $-340.70
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 6:20am ET $11.37 829 $9,421.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 6:20pm ET $11.55 829 $9,573.46 $9,573.46 +$104.20
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $11.65 822 $9,573.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 23, 2026 12:50am ET $11.30 822 $9,283.14 $9,283.14 $-337.46
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:30pm ET $11.20 829 $9,283.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 7:30am ET $11.29 829 $9,360.01 $9,360.01 +$30.26
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 8:00am ET $11.28 829 $9,360.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 8:00pm ET $11.34 829 $9,403.31 $9,403.31 $-3.61
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $12.89 729 $9,403.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $13.03 729 $9,500.42 $9,500.42 +$49.86
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $12.99 731 $9,500.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:45am ET $13.03 731 $9,525.18 $9,525.18 $-22.81
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET $12.35 771 $9,525.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:10pm ET $12.37 771 $9,537.29 $9,537.29 $-35.55
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:35am ET $12.31 774 $9,537.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $12.89 774 $9,984.42 $9,984.43 +$398.33
(+4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,984.43
Net Profit/Loss: $-15.57
Total Return: -0.16%
Back to Wally Whale