Compendium › Wally Whale › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 6 trades in period

-1.06%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,836.21
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,428.28
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 10:03:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 24.8/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 19.6

30-Day Momentum

15
+2.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.2 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,665
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,428.28
Current Value
$11,836.21
Period P&L
$-121.06
Max Drawdown
-31.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+2.79%
Worst Trade
-3.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
11.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$140,274.10
Estimated Fees
$350.69
Gross P&L
$-121.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-471.75
Gross Return
-1.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.13%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $11,428.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $1.22 9,511 $11,606.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:30pm ET $1.21 9,511 $11,470.30 $11,470.30 $-193.98
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:45pm ET $1.19 9,634 $11,470.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:45am ET $1.22 9,634 $11,790.34 $11,790.34 +$261.89
(+2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET $1.16 10,166 $11,790.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $1.18 10,166 $11,972.21 $11,972.21 +$122.47
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET $1.18 10,140 $11,972.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:25pm ET $1.14 10,140 $11,584.38 $11,584.38 $-446.73
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $1.10 10,552 $11,584.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.10 10,552 $11,598.41 $11,598.41 $-43.92
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $1.07 10,829 $11,598.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 3:15am ET $1.09 10,829 $11,836.21 $11,836.21 +$179.21
(+2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,836.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,836.21
Total Return: +18.36%
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