Compendium › Wally Whale › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wally Whale's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 21 trades in period

+1.29%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,286.83
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$11,729.35
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:32:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 26.8/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 24.8

30-Day Momentum

17
+2.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.1 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,071
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,729.35
Current Value
$13,286.83
Period P&L
$151.82
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
12 / 9
Best Trade
+5.79%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
10.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$513,218.43
Estimated Fees
$1,283.05
Gross P&L
$151.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,131.23
Gross Return
+1.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.64%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wally Whale had $11,729.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $0.0944 125,609 $11,851.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 7:25pm ET $0.0914 125,609 $11,475.42 $11,475.42 $-434.86
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 7:25pm ET $0.0914 125,609 $11,475.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 7:25am ET $0.0944 125,609 $11,855.24 $11,855.24 +$321.49
(+3.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 8:20am ET $0.0939 126,278 $11,855.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 4:50pm ET $0.0909 126,278 $11,481.58 $11,481.58 $-432.00
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET $0.0883 129,972 $11,481.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $0.0893 129,972 $11,602.52 $11,602.52 +$63.23
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $0.0894 129,717 $11,602.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:05pm ET $0.0875 129,717 $11,350.58 $11,350.58 $-309.32
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $0.0824 137,762 $11,350.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $0.0816 137,762 $11,238.98 $11,238.98 $-168.07
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $0.0795 141,407 $11,238.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 3:00am ET $0.0802 141,407 $11,346.87 $11,346.87 +$51.43
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $0.0716 158,530 $11,346.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55pm ET $0.0739 158,530 $11,708.68 $11,708.68 +$304.17
(+3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:55pm ET $0.0739 158,530 $11,708.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET $0.0745 158,530 $11,813.74 $11,813.74 +$46.25
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:20am ET $0.0739 159,876 $11,813.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:20pm ET $0.0741 159,876 $11,853.66 $11,853.66 $-19.25
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:20pm ET $0.0741 159,876 $11,853.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2026 11:20am ET $0.0755 159,876 $12,071.38 $12,071.38 +$157.91
(+1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 8:35pm ET $0.0912 132,325 $12,071.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:25pm ET $0.0965 132,325 $12,769.97 $12,769.97 +$636.49
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $0.0904 141,187 $12,769.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $0.0919 141,187 $12,977.59 $12,977.59 +$143.25
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $0.0919 141,258 $12,977.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 23, 2026 1:25am ET $0.0903 141,258 $12,760.66 $12,760.66 $-281.28
(-1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:30pm ET $0.0821 155,499 $12,760.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 7:30am ET $0.0829 155,499 $12,885.51 $12,885.51 +$60.73
(+1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 7:50am ET $0.0826 155,919 $12,885.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 7:50pm ET $0.0828 155,919 $12,912.05 $12,912.05 $-37.96
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $0.1000 129,080 $12,912.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $0.0996 129,080 $12,855.60 $12,855.60 $-120.87
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $0.0996 129,034 $12,855.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:15am ET $0.1023 129,034 $13,196.86 $13,196.86 +$276.13
(+2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET $0.0949 139,125 $13,196.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $0.0920 139,125 $12,797.28 $12,797.28 $-464.57
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $0.0921 138,917 $12,797.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:05am ET $0.0942 138,917 $13,085.64 $13,085.64 +$223.66
(+2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 4:15am ET $0.0945 138,475 $13,085.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 4:15pm ET $0.0960 138,475 $13,286.83 $13,286.83 +$135.26
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,286.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,286.83
Total Return: +32.87%
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